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The 10 Highest Grossing Movies of 2012 -- A Pajiba Prediction

By Dustin Rowles | Posted Under Seriously Random Lists | Comments (39)



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10. Prometheus ($169 million) — You may be genuinely surprised to know that Prometheus was actually the first Alien movie to break $100 million. In fact, Alien 3 and Alien Resurrection only mustered $55 million and $47 million, respectively. No, Prometheus was not the best in the series (in fact, it was probably third), but is the first truly huge blockbuster.

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9. The Bourne Legacy ($176 million) — The fact that Matt Damon didn’t return to the franchise hurt the box-office of Legacy, but the series still has plenty of fans. The fact that Jeremy Renner surprised many of us and kicked a fair amount of ass certainly helped it cross the $175 million mark.

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8. Hunger Games: ($210 million) — Over $210 million may not sound like a lot for a movie that had so much hype coming in, but remember this: Hunger Games does not have as big a following as Harry Potter and Hunger Games opened in March (where it had the second highest March opening of all time). It was certainly enough to expand the fanbase and ensure a sequel.

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7. MIB 3 ( $212 million) — What a sh*tshow. The level of incoherence was nothing short of astounding, and easily the worst movie of Will Smith’s career since Wild Wild West. Of course, it did well: Audiences love Will Smith, but the drubbing the movie took from critics, as well as departing moviegoers, was enough to ensure we probably won’t see MIB IV at least for another decade, long after the sour taste from the third installment has left our mouths.

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6. The Avengers: ($260 million) — It didn’t scale the heights of the Iron Man franchise, but it beat out both Captain America and Thor, and amassed a tidy little sum for a series that has reached a certain level of fatigue. Joss Whedon brought a spark to it, but it still felt somewhat generic and with so many characters involved, it was muddled and overly complicated.

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5. Brave ($302 million) — After a relatively pitiful showing in 2011 with Cars 2 ($191 million), the Pixar Brand bounced back with its third highest grossing movie of all time, and one of those films that will compete with Toy Story 2, Finding Nemo, and The Incredibles in people’s minds as the best Pixar film to date.

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4. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn (Part Two) ($316 million) — It’s over. That’s all that matters, people. It’s finally over. We will never have to speak of a Twilight film again.

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3. The Hobbit (Part I) ($356 million) — The Hobbit performed about on par with Peter Jackson’s Lord of the Rings movies, and while the movie received overall solid reviews, some were displeased with the additions Jackson made to the original book, and I don’t think that Evangeline Lilly will ever live down her role.

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2. The Amazing Spider-man ($368 million) — We all knew exactly what we were getting. There were very little surprises, but that’s why Hollywood continues to churn out these films. Audiences love the familiar. That said, Andrew Garfield and Emma Stone were surprisingly great in what was yet another generic origins story.

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1. The Dark Knight Rises ($700 million) — Holy shitballs. Yes, it fell short of Avatar’s all-time record, but it did shatter every opening weekend record in the books, as well as becoming the fastest to reach $500 million. The increased prices, the addition of a lot of IMAX screenings, and the repeat business (because so many returned to decipher what Tom Hardy’s Bane was saying) certainly helped, but the third film in Nolan’s trilogy deserved every penny. That was one ballsy goddamn film, and one that may resonate for years to come. Can you believe that f*ckijng ending? My brain is still rattling.

(See Also: The Biggest Box-Office Flops of 2012)









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Comments

one of those films that will compete with Toy Story 2, Finding Nemo, and The Incredibles in people’s minds as the best Pixar film to date.

Um, Up and Wall-E are better than that entire list. FLAWED

Posted by: KatSings at January 31, 2012 4:18 PM

What, no «insert title»?

Posted by: [A] at January 31, 2012 4:19 PM

Holy shitballs indeed. Do u ever go back to these predictions at the end of the year and test your accuracy?

Posted by: Oroboros at January 31, 2012 4:19 PM

Vegas gives 10 to 1 for Twilight BDII to Show. After seeing your list I think it's got a shot and I'm putting the money down. Thanks much your site is the only resource of its kind keep the hot tips coming!

Posted by: dagnabbit at January 31, 2012 4:20 PM

Can you believe that f*ckijng ending? My brain is still rattling

They're going to kill him, you know. Or irrevocably break him at the very least.

Posted by: superasente at January 31, 2012 4:23 PM

Lots of quibbles here:

1. No way Spider Man crosses $300 million. I'm going with $230, tops.
2. Men In Black III won't clear $160 million
3. Hobbit will probably be closer to $400 million than $350 million
4. As much as I love Pixar, not sure an Irish fairy tale with a female protagonist is going to earn north of $300 million. Say $270M
5. Prometheus looks fantastic but $170 for an R-rated fifth installment that doesn't have a tangible connection to the Alien brand? $90-$100 million.
6. Where is Skyfall? Bond is bank.
7. Some shit like Ice Age 4 or Paranormal Activity 5 will sneak in the top 10.

Posted by: QueeferSutherland at January 31, 2012 4:24 PM

does this list offer a clue about the demographic that
hollywood aims at ?

Posted by: snake at January 31, 2012 4:31 PM

There's no way The Amazing Spider-man ends up number two.

Posted by: Matt at January 31, 2012 4:36 PM

Bond has never broken $176 million. Paranormal has never broken $110 million; and the last Ice Age hit $196 million, but it's been three years and I expect a slight Alvin & The Chipmunks like fall because the series original fans have outgrown it.

Also, expect Prometheus to be PG-13 and get Rise of the Planet of the Apes like numbers.

Posted by: Dustin Rowles at January 31, 2012 4:37 PM

Matt -- Spider-man 3 sucked and made $336 million without 3D. I think the reboot will def break $300 million.

Posted by: Dustin Rowles at January 31, 2012 4:40 PM

If you're assuming that Prometheus grabs the PG-13 then, yeah, it has a shot at the top 10. Maybe. It just feels more like an adult sci-fi movie to me, one that won't attract a broad enough audience to crack the lower portion of the list.

Skyfall is gonna make some coin. Craig, Bardem, Mendes, Finnes, well-known property, holiday window, solid PG-13 rating -- that's right in Murica's wheelhouse (despite the, uh, entirely foreign cast).

I'm going with John Carter and MiB III as the bombs of the year, with Battleship grabbing the bronze (surprised that wasn't on here).

Posted by: QueeferSutherland at January 31, 2012 4:45 PM

Dustin, you gotta remember that Spider Man 3 was the conclusion of the series and finally featured the villain everyone wanted in Venom. Yeah, it sucked, but everyone goes to see the finale of the trilogy. It made 1.3 of its total on the opening weekend.

Also, 3pider Man (deal with it) was released before the current era of comic book movie saturation. Nor did it have negative buzz (lutz y u remake movie thaz so new?) and a C-list star (does America really know who Andrew Garfield is?). I just feel like $230-$250M is the ceiling for a reboot no one wants. It'll have to get really good reviews to have a chance at $300M.

Posted by: QueeferSutherland at January 31, 2012 4:51 PM

If Prometheus get's a PG-13 I'm fucking facebursting some motherfuckers! I want my Science-Horror and I want it proper!

Posted by: admin at January 31, 2012 4:55 PM

If The Bourne Legacy makes a cent more than $110m I'll eat my socks.

I don't have a hat to eat.

Avengers will surely crack $300m without breaking a sweat.

Posted by: Arran at January 31, 2012 5:02 PM

1. The Dark Knight Rises
2. The Hobit
3. Avengers
4. Spiderman

I agree with the distance between 1 and 2. Batman will break all records including the record of most awesomeness.

Posted by: Dotsmada at January 31, 2012 5:03 PM

Twilight is almost over...twilight. is. almost. over.

That feels good.

Posted by: Claire at January 31, 2012 5:03 PM

Are these US only grosses? Because if they are, I don't see Batman getting $700 million, but if they're worldwide, Skyfall's going to be right near the top. Bond does amazingly well internationally, less so in the USA.

Posted by: Scott at January 31, 2012 5:04 PM

Highest grossing in my heart will be Django Unchained. it will top out at 13 kermegazajillion dollars.

Posted by: Lucas at January 31, 2012 5:05 PM

Scottish fairy tale.
Unless Pixar decided to give Irish characters Glaswegian accents, highland clan tartans, dynamics, scenery, and folklore.
Otherwise, I'm going with Scottish.

Posted by: DominaNefret at January 31, 2012 5:24 PM

my friend's mother makes $74 an hour on the computer. She has been fired for 8 months but last month her check was $8737 just working on the computer for a few hours. Go to this web site and read more... LazyCash10.com

Posted by: Jim at January 31, 2012 5:39 PM

Kat, switch Up with Ratatouille and we're on to something...

Posted by: =DocDoom1= at January 31, 2012 5:46 PM

What, no Atlas Shrugged: Part II?

Posted by: John G. at January 31, 2012 6:10 PM

Atlas Shrugged Part II: Atlas Still Doesn't Know

Posted by: superasente at January 31, 2012 6:34 PM

Its truly amazing how much I loathe this new Spider-man move having loved Spider-man as a boy and having never seen so much as a trailer from this movie.

Posted by: logan at January 31, 2012 7:02 PM

4. As much as I love Pixar, not sure an Irish fairy tale with a female protagonist is going to earn north of $300 million. Say $270M

Scottish.

Posted by: Sean at January 31, 2012 8:13 PM

"It’s over. That’s all that matters, people. It’s finally over. We will never have to speak of a Twilight film again."

So, it's about time to reboot the series, right?

Posted by: Craig at January 31, 2012 8:45 PM

I will see The Hobbit (took out a home equity loan to be able to afford the price of the ticket, a drink and a box of Raisinets), and depending on just how much damage Peter Jackson does to the film, I may need to borrow the keys to the Murdertank.

Posted by: The Wanderer at January 31, 2012 10:32 PM

So I'm guessing Skyfall 007 scheduled for November didn't make the cut.

I like the director.

Posted by: billbixbee at January 31, 2012 10:45 PM

I hope the reboot of "The Godfather" starring Shia Labeouf as Michael, cracks the top twenty.

Posted by: @Chrispeare at February 1, 2012 2:57 AM

Atlas Shrugged Part II: Atlas Still Doesn't Know

Posted by: superasente at January 31, 2012 6:34 PM

-----

Atlas Shrugged Part III: Oh Atlas gets it now, but Atlas don't really give a shit.

Posted by: zeke the pig at February 1, 2012 4:44 AM

Godamn it, I love Renner, but at the rate he’s going he’s gonna devolve into just a bicep with a haircut soon. Just once wear some long sleeves man. Don’t be a 12 year old me.

Posted by: zeke the pig at February 1, 2012 4:47 AM

Dude. The Hobbit will do business. Batman probably will do some, but not as much. Everything else here is so completely off I'm staggered. Spiderman? Give me a fucking break.

Posted by: rocky at February 1, 2012 5:39 AM

Jeremy Renner? No.

Posted by: sunny at February 1, 2012 9:14 AM

You know there's another Twilight book, right? The Short Second Life of Bree Tanner will be Twilight V: The Nightmare Continues.

Posted by: Bob Frapples at February 1, 2012 10:54 AM

Why are you just counting the american market?
Rises and Hobbit will easily make over a billion world-wide and thats way cooler to write than 700 millions

Posted by: Johan.S at February 1, 2012 1:04 PM

Um, Up and Wall-E are better than that entire list. FLAWED

Came here to say this. +1 to KatSings

Posted by: Amanda6 at February 1, 2012 2:12 PM

Also, is there doubt that Jeremy Renner can kick ass? I don't think he's the problem with New Bourne: Bourne Again. That it exists is the problem, but I'm sure he'll do fine with what he's got.

Posted by: Amanda6 at February 1, 2012 2:13 PM

no way spiderman makes that much

batman will prob be closer to $350, no way over $500

Posted by: loretta Johnson at February 1, 2012 6:44 PM

I am not sure where you are getting your info, but great topic

Posted by: 1p Call to Bangladesh Mobile at March 28, 2012 10:51 PM