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The 10 Biggest Box Office Flops of 2012 -- A Pajiba Prediction

By Dustin Rowles | Posted Under Seriously Random Lists | Comments (55)



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Wow! What a year, right? The Giants beat the Pats in the Super Bowl again, Theo Epstein turned the Chicago Cubs around, but they still lost in the series to … the Red Sox (poetic justice), and in politics, Barack Obama easily toppled Mitt Romney in the presidential election thanks to an improved 7% unemployment rate, Romney’s inability to connect with voters, and the release of those photos. You know what I’m talking about. The celebrity world also saw the passing of some greats (Betty White! We love you!) and not so greats (Lindsay Lohan! We saw it coming in 2006). The worst thing about 2012? “The Killing” dragged us along another entire season and still didn’t solve the murder of Rosie Larsen.

Thanks to an improving economy and better box office choices and fewer gimmicks, it was a bounce-back year at the movies. However, not all movies were so lucky. Here were the year’s ten biggest flops based on box office versus budget and expectation.

10. Dredd ($56 million) — It was a sh*tty movie the first they made it, and it only $35 million on a $70 million budget in 1995. What dumbass thought they could do better with Karl Urban and Olivia Thirlby over Sly Stallone?

DREDD_Karl_Urban.jpg

9. The Three Stooges ($33 million) — Nobody wanted a Three Stooges movie, and we really didn’t want a Three Stooges movie starring Sean Hayes as Larry. Thanks Farrelly Brothers for ruining something that was already sort of ruined already.

8. Taken 2 ($67 million) — You see, Liam? Taken actually was a fluke. Sure, your mediocre thriller will do fine in the middle of January with no competition, but so did Paul Blart. You see what Zookeeper did in the middle of the summer of 2011? That’s exactly what Taken 2 did in the middle of the summer of 2012. Pbbbbbbt.

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7. Ghost Rider Spirit of Vengeance ($43 million) — God bless directors Mark Neveldine and Brian Taylor (Crank, Jonah Hex). They are completely f*cked in the head, but it didn’t make a damn bit of difference. The sequel was even worse than the original, if that’s possible, and fared worse at the box office, too.

6. Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace (in 3D) — ($21 million) This was justice: Sure, the first time you released it, it made $431 million. But this time? We know better. You know why? Because we’ve seen it. We knew what to expect, and we avoided it. Suck it, Lucas.

5. American Reunion ($56 million) — A decade and 57 direct-to-DVD sequels didn’t help the cause, but the biggest detriment was the fact that no one gave a sh*t what happened to the characters after they lost their virginity.

4. Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter ($21 million) — The novelty wore off before the movie arrived in theaters. There’s a reason it went through half a dozen directors: Because, while it makes for a great movie/book title, nobody actually wants to watch the whole thing.

Abraham-Lincoln-Vampire-Hunter-Night-550x814.jpg

3. Total Recall ($67 million) — I like you, Colin Farrell, but you’re no Arnie. If you’re going to remake a classic, you don’t stoop to the B-level with your director (Len Wiseman) and your cast (Beckinsale, Jessica Biel, Ethan Hawke). You’ll get a B-movie, with B-movie box office results, as the performance of Total Recall suggested.

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2. John Carter ($49 million) — What a disastrous mess. The reviews were brutal, and the plot incoherent. It made Cowboys and Aliens seem like a Christopher Nolan movie by comparison. The Jar Jar jokes were fun, though.

1. Battleship ($72 million): People were mocking this the day it was announced, and it never let up. The whole idea seemed like a joke taken too far, and no one wanted to pay $12 to see a joke. It’s too bad for Taylor Kitsch, who was the star in the year’s two biggest flops. It wasn’t all his fault, but his wooden acting certainly didn’t help matters.









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Comments

I don't want to see either John Carter or Battleship. But I want to see Taylor Kitsch in a few more movies where he might be good. FNL movie maybe? I also might be the only one who didn't mind him in X-men. The rest of these look terrible. I will not be fooled again Lucas! 3D is not going to make that movie suck less.

Posted by: muertemaria at January 19, 2012 4:28 PM

I must politely disagree with #5. People love a vengeful Neeson.

Posted by: Mrs. Julien at January 19, 2012 4:28 PM

I don't know, I enjoyed seeing the added scenes featuring committee conferences and budgetary debates in Phantom Menace. Greedo shooting Qui Gon might have been a little much though.

Posted by: BarbadoSlim at January 19, 2012 4:29 PM

I don't care if they suck, I am forking over my $13.50 to see Tim Riggins in a Loincloth on Mars and also Tim Riggins Looks Hot in a Navy Uniform. But you are right, they will probably do badly.

Posted by: Kari at January 19, 2012 4:31 PM

In The Three Stooges Will Sasso is playing Curly. Sean Hayes is playing Larry. No matter, it'll still suck a bucket of mouldy dicks and tank faster than Rick Perry*.

*Timely political humour! HEYOOOOO!

Posted by: Groundloop at January 19, 2012 4:31 PM

What a load of cinematic turds!! Several of which, I only thought were rumors... the 3 Stooges thing actually got *made & released*?!?

Posted by: Django at January 19, 2012 4:33 PM

Taylor Kitch just isn't right as anyone but Tim Riggins. I'd be perfectly happy if he assumed the entire Tim Riggins identity and spent the rest of his years on his undeveloped land drinking beer outside of a trailer.

Posted by: blorft at January 19, 2012 4:35 PM

{Suddenly notices the whole "predictions" angle... slinks away in shame...}

Posted by: Django at January 19, 2012 4:35 PM

Ok, I hate myself for this, but my OCD compels me to point out that Sean Hayes is playing Larry and the Sandra Bullock was not in Judge Dredd. Can we still be friends?

Posted by: Eibmoz at January 19, 2012 4:35 PM

Sandra Bullock wasn't in Judge Dredd...was she? Demolition Man, yes. They're not allowed to remake that.

And everyone do yourselves a favour and just watch the original of the Killing. It's excellent and you get to know who the killer is at the end.

You're right, you're right. I've confused my crappy Stalone movies. Demolition Man was the one with all the Taco Bell product placement set in the future, right? -- DR

Posted by: Carrie at January 19, 2012 4:37 PM

It really says a lot about American Pie when, 10 years on, the character with the most goodwill is STIFLER.

Posted by: Bert at January 19, 2012 4:38 PM

But... What?!

The Three Stooges trailer I watched just with the... fish THROUGH THE... and with...

When??

No, no, no, no! Snooki what christman fun? YES EXACTLY!!!

In other words that trailer broke EVERYTHING.

Posted by: zeke the pig at January 19, 2012 4:41 PM

Sandra Bullock wasn't in Judge Dredd...was she? Demolition Man, yes. They're not allowed to remake that.

Posted by: Carrie at January 19, 2012 4:37 PM


The token unnecessary female in Judge Dredd was perennial movie slut and supposed "hottie" Diane Lane.

Posted by: BarbadoSlim at January 19, 2012 4:43 PM

Ok, I hate myself for this, but my OCD compels me to point out that Sean Hayes is playing Larry and the Sandra Bullock was not in Judge Dredd. Can we still be friends?

Posted by: Eibmoz at January 19, 2012 4:35 PM

But Dustin is having to remember the original Judge Dread from the end of 2012, after IMDB was taken down for copyright infringement and in the middle of world war III, so give the guy a break.

Posted by: John G. at January 19, 2012 4:45 PM

Hey you shut yo mouth! I read scripts as a hobby/educational endeavour, and despite hating the original Judge Dredd movie, the script for this was pretty awesome. They stick much closer to the comic's Judge Dredd ideas.

It plays out in a similar fashion to the original Die Hard movie, with Dredd trapped in a high rise apartment complex/slum run by a drug lord. He doesn't take off his helmet and he never says I AM DA LAW

Posted by: Sean at January 19, 2012 4:46 PM

Piggybacking on Mrs. Julien's thought: Not only do people love a vengeful Neeson, but how much could Taken and by extension, Taken 2, cost to make?

They only have one big star and virtually no special effects. If it made $67 million, that would surely be more than it cost. Compare to the snowstorm/plane crash/wolf movie coming out shortly: lots of special effects and difficult filming conditions. It probably cost more to film and will make less, because it has ridiculous wolf-punching.

{I plan on seeing it, though. I like ridiculous wolf-punching.}

Posted by: MM at January 19, 2012 4:48 PM

I think you nailed it.

Posted by: John W at January 19, 2012 4:48 PM

Ghost Rider Spirit of Vengeance ($43 million) — The sequel was even worse than the original, if that’s possible.

It's not.

No, I mean it's literally, scientifically not possible.

Posted by: The Other Agent Johnson at January 19, 2012 4:50 PM

Please someone get Peter Berg some help!!! There might be a "Hancock 2"!!

Posted by: PG13 at January 19, 2012 4:58 PM

John Carter has good talent directing and writing it. I think I would be surprised if it ended up being a critical failure.

Posted by: DD at January 19, 2012 5:00 PM

Judge Dredd was an 80's classic that came out in the 90's. Which is to say it was fucking awesome, in a terrible, absurd kind of way. Army of evil clones? Check. Giant Robots? Check. Aforementioned robot ripping arms off? DOUBLE CHECK.

Posted by: camytaru at January 19, 2012 5:01 PM

Should I somehow be cajoled or hoodwinked (read: kidnapped) into seeing any of these movies, I shall order a very large bucket of popcorn and a very large cup of soda, empty out their contents, fill them with my excrement and urine, respectively, and throw them up upon the screen.

I shall then hunt down the directors and producers responsible for such poo squirts, and then proceed to toss three months worth of spooge in their eyes. And then fart in their general direction.

Its eye for an eye, Smegma Stains.

Posted by: L.O.V.E. at January 19, 2012 5:05 PM

One hopes the predictions come out the way you want them, Dustin.

Based on the trailers alone, I'm better off with Netflix and a Jumbo-sized jug of well-iced vodka & tonic while I watch the three big sporting events this year:

The Super Bowl

The Olympics

The Presidential Election.

::munches popcorn::

Posted by: The Wanderer at January 19, 2012 5:05 PM

Some people just have a hard-on for vigilante assholes who kill with impunity. They'll keep trying, just like the morons who think they can make The Punisher happen. I'm gonna dub it Frank Miller Syndrome.

The Three Stooges. No one even knows what a stooge is anymore. Kinda like how nobody cares about the Three Stooges anymore.

Poor Liam.

I'm glad someone else thinks that nothing good can come from Ghost Rider I don't care how much Cage ramps up the crazy. That movie is going to be worse than Spawn.

American Reunion. Reuniting the cast of the most over-rated films of the last 50 years. Not sure what it says that all those cast members look exactly the same as they did in the first. A BEARD AIN'T GONNA CHANGE THE FACT THAT THIS IS YOUR ONLY CLAIM TO FAME, whatever your name is.

Lincoln. Burton. Vampires. Nuff said.

Totall Recall, the original (can't believe that's a concept), sucked ass except for Quato. What you want to bet there's no Quato.

Battleship: A Joke Too Far... is Rihanna really starring in this? You deserve what you get if you pay money to see this. And they deserve to lose everything on this idiotic idea. Here's a real idea: How about you make a war movie that happens to take place on a battleship instead of trying to make a commercial last two hours? Or were you just trying to be cute or pluck our nostalgia strings and you thought that would bring us running? Because raping our childhood memories isn't the way, man. What the hell am I saying? Transformers cleaned up. Clearly people are stupid and desperate and will flock to see this piece of flotsam.

List fail.

Posted by: Protoguy at January 19, 2012 5:05 PM

This list is accurate but makes me sad for Tim Riggins.

Also, shut your mouth about Betty White. If there's a god, that woman will outlive us all.

Posted by: Artemis at January 19, 2012 5:43 PM

"Dredd" - A British director with a great track record working on an adaptation of the classic British comic book character. If anything, the main reason I think it might suck is Alex Garland working on the screenplay (not a fan).

I've got high hopes personally. (And yes, OF COURSE the previous attempt was poor. It starred Sylvester Stallone ffs!)

I'm prepared to give Andrew Stanton (Wall-E, Finding Nemo) some benefit of the doubt for "John Carter" for now, but I can't help but look at some of the aliens and think that, while they'd work great in a fully animated feature, they are going to come off extremely goofy in this live-action movie.

Posted by: fatpie42 at January 19, 2012 5:49 PM

Betty White is not going to pass in 2012. Don't even say such things. Probably spot on about Lohan though.
And I second or third Mrs. Julien about Taken 2. I know I would pay to Liam snarl menacingly into the phone "I have a special set of skills." Again.

Posted by: lillie at January 19, 2012 6:23 PM

I had to turn off the John Carter one because it reminded me of the "Gentlemen! We rise at daybreak!" scene from The Trip and I couldn't stop laughing. I think I'll just stay at home and watch that again.

Posted by: Jenne Frisby at January 19, 2012 6:32 PM

Battleship has (Sunken) Battleship written all over its hull. Can we stop trying to make a movie star out of Stoneface Skaarsgaaard?

But what do I know -- I liked Cowboys & Aliens.

Posted by: klingonfree at January 19, 2012 6:41 PM

Yeah no. The economy is still in the crapper. Kudos to them Romney pics though.

'Has the orgy pit been scraped and buttered ?'

-Hedonism Bot

Posted by: Alberto at January 19, 2012 7:05 PM

I, too, would substitute Taken 2 with The Grey (that stupid bad wolf movie). The first Taken wasn't that bad and both of them probably were/will not be very expensive.

Also, can we have a comparison of last year's predictions with the actual results? (Or was there one already?)

Posted by: FabMax at January 19, 2012 7:50 PM

Because I have way too much to do and an even stronger urge towards procrastination.

Last years flop predictions and the results.

"Flop" Predicted Actual Difference
Rise of the Planet of the Apes $70 $177 $107
Captain America: The First Avenger $104 $177 $73
The Adjustment Bureau $34 $63 $29
Footloose $23 $52 $29
Real Steel $68 $85 $17
The Three Musketeers $55 $20 $(35)
Conan the Barbarian $62 $21 $(41)

Posted by: LwoodPDowd at January 19, 2012 11:14 PM

Battleship. Really. Can it suck even more than I actually thought?

Posted by: Candy at January 20, 2012 12:01 AM

Every single part of me wants the second paragraph to be true, and we learn that Dustin has always been a prophet blessed by the Divine. Some call Him Godtopus, but really, at the end of the day, He's the God of Entertainment. The One responsible for giving us Breaking Bad, Justified, Drive, even Pajiba and every now and then he fills in when the God of Economy is too busy snorting lines of coke off those fancy plates they use to print money. We should've known, all along, that Dustin was more than he appeared (NOT like any of the Transformers movies) that his insight, wit, and most of all, his sarcasm could only come from supernatural, heavenly origins. It is, in fact, his sarcasm that holds the most power. His sarcasm is the literal Word of Godtopus. If we believe, and lend him power through page-views, his sarcasm will set right this horrible world. His sarcasm will see Whitney cancelled and it will be as though the Killing never happened! We'll get an entire summer back! If we just believe...

Posted by: AngelArm45 at January 20, 2012 2:10 AM

I've looked over the other times you've done this in 2011, 2010, and 2009.

Five of seven of the movies on the 2011 list were hits.

Three of five of the movies on the 2010 list were hits.

Not only were three of five of the movies on the 2009 list hits, one of the ones on it was the biggest hit film of all time.

At least five of these movies are going to be huge hits.

Posted by: Devil Child at January 20, 2012 7:32 AM

Total Recall is getting remade? What´s next, The Godfather?

Posted by: Qualtinger at January 20, 2012 8:28 AM

"Total Recall is getting remade? What´s next, The Godfather?"

"Taylor Lautner returns to the screen in his most challenging role yet..."

"Lautner! Tatum! Worthington! Biel!"

Posted by: Craig at January 20, 2012 8:57 AM

I love all the optimistic comments about "John Carter." I'm guessing none of you have seen the trailers for it, because, yikes, it just looks awful, y'all.

Posted by: MelBivDevoe at January 20, 2012 10:43 AM

Ethan Hawke is hardly B-Level. WTF is that? The list:

-Gattaca
-Hamlet
-Before Sunrise/Before Sunset
-Waking Life
-Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
-Training Day

I mean, I knows hes not Will Smith but he's hardly comparable to someone like Beckensale.

Posted by: Francis Sandow at January 20, 2012 11:27 AM

You're right, you're right. I've confused my crappy Stalone movies. Demolition Man was the one with all the Taco Bell product placement set in the future, right? -- DR

Yes! Although at the time I didn't know what Taco Bell was, being British and all and yet to set foot in the land of the free. I thought it was made up.

Posted by: Carrie/Teabelly at January 20, 2012 11:42 AM

Goodness, life has been grim, career-wise, for the cast of the American Pie movies, hasn't it? I never really thought about it until I saw them all together like that.

Posted by: Gine at January 20, 2012 12:04 PM

Mark Neveldine and Brian Taylor did not direct Jonah Hex.

Posted by: jbot at January 20, 2012 1:59 PM

Seriously, guys? Does anyone proofread anymore? Couldn't get past the first scentence of #10. "It was a sh*tty movie the first they made it, and it only $35 million on a $70 million budget in 1995." What bloody sense does that make?

Posted by: Jesse Hammer at January 20, 2012 2:42 PM

I was all set for some mental clapping and copious co-signing but ... I disagree with this entire list. Was not expecting that. I'm all frowny-faced now.

Posted by: llaurus at January 21, 2012 2:19 PM

Seriously, guys? Does anyone proofread anymore?

I've been offering to proofread for peanuts for ages now. I think I need to go salacious in my adverts from here on out.

Posted by: duckandcover at January 21, 2012 3:59 PM

It really says a lot about American Pie when, 10 years on, the character with the most goodwill is STIFLER.

Posted by: Bert at January 19, 2012 4:38 PM

Yeah, I was kinda feeling sorry for him at the end of that trailer. I do like Sean Scott Williams and Alyson Hannigan and Eugene Levy and still got a little love for Mina Suvari and it does invoke my nostalgia...but...hm...man, am I actually considering watching this? I mean January Jones WAS kinda hot in the American Wedding movie and I did avoid all the spin off direct to DVD BS so my sentiments for these characters and the franchise are not too tarnished... And I'm at the reuninoney age....dammit life.

Posted by: yocean at January 21, 2012 11:03 PM

Ahem. The Red Sox will not come anywhere near the World Series, AL Championship, or even close to the AL East lead. Their management group (Tom Werner) is too busy producing "Are You There, Chelsea", paying for Liverpool FC, and any number of things not related to the Red Sox's abysmal pitching staff issues.
Go Cubbies!

Posted by: dorquemada at January 22, 2012 12:26 PM

How dare you kill off Betty White! Who do you think you are? Leave me last golden girl damnit! Just by saying that you're giving 2012 bad juju. Shame!!! (and not the sexy fassbender kind)

Posted by: E-money at January 23, 2012 2:42 AM

I think I will confidently predict at least three of the worst films of 2012 will be ones you haven't even heard of yet.

Taylor Kitsch could look good wearing anything, but man those movies are appalling. He needs to fire his agent before the choice of scripts gets any worse (if that's even possible).

Posted by: rocky at January 23, 2012 6:31 AM

While I hope Dredd does well, just because I like Urban, I think you are underestimating the stupidity of the general audience, and their need to be entertained by explosives and an overall blowy upy feeling that they would normally have to get from video games.

And when I say general audience, I am not including my Pajiba brethren.

Posted by: MRod at January 23, 2012 9:07 AM

Should any ill befall the divine Ms. White in 2012 I shall hunt you down sir in a manner that renders The Hunger Games tame. Be aware, Mr. Rowles, that my fighting prowess is such that tigers crouch and dragons hide.

Posted by: cinekat at January 23, 2012 9:14 AM

Bullshit

Posted by: Langoler at January 24, 2012 7:08 AM

Only 48 hours prior to the report was launched, President Obama told the whole world throughout his annual State of the Union address, “We don't begrudge financial success in this country. We admire it.” Obama included that “When Americans talk about folks like me paying my fair share of taxes, it's not because they envy the rich. It's because they understand that when I get a tax break I don't need and the country can't afford, it either adds to the deficit or somebody else has to make up the difference, like a senior on a fixed income, or a student trying to get through school, or a family trying to make ends meet.” That is almost all fine and good, however just what exactly regarding his own aids that forgot to pay out their own taxation? Is this man's speech for all of us or are actually his staff members exempt? explain this kind of fairness to me?

Posted by: Claud Fishbaugh at January 27, 2012 9:48 PM

I clicked the Three Stooges link and it didn't play. Thank God it didn't play.

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