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The 10 Films Likely to Dominate the Oscar Conversation for the Rest of the Year

By Dustin Rowles | Seriously Random Lists | July 12, 2012 | Comments ()


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The Dark Knight Rises

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Best Picture, Best Director (Christopher Nolan), Best Supporting Actor (Tom Hardy), Best Supporting Actress (Anne Hathaway), Best Original Screenplay (Jonathan Nolan, Christopher Nolan, David Goyer), Best Original Score.

The Great Gatsby

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Best Picture, Best Director (Baz Luhrmann), Best Actor (Leonardo DiCaprio), Best Actress (Carey Mulligan) Best Supporting Actor (Joel Edgerton), Best Adapted Screenplay (Baz Luhrmann) and Best Song.

Django Unchained

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Best Picture, Best Director (Quentin Tarantino), Best Actor (Christoph Waltz), Best Supporting Actor (Leonardo DiCaprio), Best Supporting Actress (Kerry Washington), Best Original Screenplay (Quentin Tarantino).

Beasts of the Southern Wild

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Best Picture, Best Original Screenplay (Lucy Alibar, Benh Zeitlin), Best Actress (Quvenzhané Wallis).

Argo

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Best Picture, Best Director (Ben Affleck), Best Adapted Screenplay (Chris Terrio), Best Supporting Actor (Bryan Cranston)

Les Miserables

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Best Picture, Best Director (Tom Hooper), Best Actress (Anne Hathaway), Best Actor (Russell Crowe), Best Supporting Actor (Sacha Cohen Baron)

The Hobbit

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Best Picture, Best Director (Peter Jackson), Best Actor (Martin Freeman), Best Adapted Screenplay (Fran Walsh, Philippa Boyens)

Anna Karenina

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Best Picture, Best Director (Joe Wright), Best Actress (Keira Knightley), Best Adapted Screenplay (Tom Stoppard)

Life of Pi

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Best Picture, Best Director (Ang Lee), Best Actor (Tobey Maguire), Best Supporting Actor (Irrfan Khan), Best Adapted Screenplay (David Magee)

Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Project (About the Navy SEAL Team 6 that tracked down Osama bin Laden)

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Best Picture, Best Director (Kathryn Bigelow), Best Actor (Joel Edgerton), Best Actress (Jessica Chastain), Best Adapted Screenplay (Mark Boal)




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Comments Are Welcome, Bigots and Trolls Are Not


  • RoyaleWithCheese

    Also for Oscar predictions think like an old white male. That's the majority of the voting academy. Yay more politics.

    Bill Murray is going to get best actor, it might not be his best work, but they'll give it to him out of respect. Kind of like Scorsese and winning best director for The Departed (Clearly not better than his earlier films for which he was snubbed).

    I would love to say PTA's The Master is going to get best picture and best director, but the academy is still a little hesitant of accepting PTA. However, what PTA has going for him this time around is support from the all powerful hollywood bully Harvey Weinstein.

  • RoyaleWithCheese

    Tarantino will never win best director. The DGA hates him. It's politics baby.

    He will get nominated for best original screenplay, but probably won't get it either.

  • bellificent

    FYI... I know nobody really cares but it's Sacha Baron Cohen not Sacha Cohen Baron

  • rachel612

    What specific brand of crack are you on mentioning Gatsby for Best Picture, Best Director? Lurhmann does art direction, not direction per se, and something as nuanced as Gatsby is going to be right out of the question. Did you see "Australia"? Man that was a stinkfest.

  • NoPantsMcLane

    I doubt Hardy or Hathaway will be nominated for Batman. Heath Ledger was miles ahead of what these two seems to do in the last film.

  • lonolove

    The acting nods for The Hobbit and The Dark Knight Rises won't happen, nor will Joe Wright get nominated for Best Director. Even if his movie WON all the Best Picture awards, the guy still would not get nominated for Best Director.

  • kirbyjay

    If The Great Gatsby is 100% better than the Redford/Farrow version, it will still suck because the aft mentioned is soooooooooooo bad. What an incredible snoozefest.
    I feel a Christian Bale lady boner coming on. Why do I like the badboy assholes?
    (Russell Crowe, Mark Wahlberg)
    Check out the Sean Bean/Sophie Marceau version if you wanna see a good Anna K. Bean was dashing, Marceau was heartbreaking ( and beautiful)

  • Orleanas

    I for one wish that Keira Knightley would stop being cast in these classic lit films. I want to see them but because I can't stand to watch her in any film, I shall have to miss another one. Damn! Leonardo DiCaprio is also starting to get on my nerves. I think it started with his bad turn as J. Edgar Hoover.

  • Archie Leach

    Remember that NO one saw "The Artist" coming in July of last year.

  • And Jesus did that movie not deserve to win.

  • POINGjam

    Batman starring the Dark Knight as Batman Begins?

  • Muhnah_Muhnah

    I saw the trailer of Life of Pi in 3D. I hate 3D, and I'm not saying that lightly. BUT...man do I want a pet tiger. I realise it would maul the shit out of me and stuff, but they are just soooo fucking cool! Anyway...Oscars...yeah.

  • Whoa, where have I been? When is Life of Pi being released?

  • celery

    I am pretty damn tired of Leonardo DiCaprio, and he is too damn old to play Gatsby.

  • Mr_Zito

    I think The Dark Knight Rises has a very good chance to win best picture if it's half as good as everybody expects. There's gonna be a "series achievement" element going for it, just like what happened to Return of the King.

  • carrie

    you forget Nolan's Batman movies never were nod before

  • John G.

    I have no interest in Tom "Shakespeare in Love" Stoppard's all English version of all English actors' Anna Karenina

  • Sara_Tonin00

    He speaks/reads Russian, ya know. And has written many, many plays around Russian history.

  • John G.

    That's even worse. What's next, Gwyneth Paltrow in Elizabethan England?

  • AudioSuede

    F***ing Tom Hooper, that slimy son-of-a-bitch.

    Unacceptable!

  • e jerry powell

    What, is 2012 the year of the Western Literary Canon or something? All these books that my sixty-plus year-old parents would have read but that haven't been on a literary syllabus since I dropped out of college.

  • dorothea_brooke

    I'm reasonably sure Tolstoy is still relevant in academia. He's also a fucking genius.

  • e jerry powell

    Not disputing genius, but let's also keep in mind that the first film treatment of Anna Karenina is from 1911. I'm confused as to what new spins filmmakers have on Tolstoy or Austen by now.

  • dorothea_brooke

    Yet Batman and Spiderman are so deeply compelling they require a new treatment every 12 months? OK then!

    One could certainly do a lot worse than great novels as source material for film.

  • e jerry powell

    Very true, but in a very roundabout, sarcastic kind of way, that's my point. It's a bit ironic to do all these literary reboots in a market where comic book superheroes are the go-to moneymakers...

  • John G.

    It's all stuff for people who went to school in the seventies, the books they would have read, the news they were watching and Batman.

  • jimmdodd

    Thats alot of best supporting/best actor double ups - normally there is one but not alot. Cant imagine there being DiCaprio, Edgerton and (really) Hathaway. I like some best supporting CRANSTON love though

  • DeistBrawler

    I'm thinking The Perks of Being a Wallflower is going to get mentioned some.

  • hapl0


    Best Picture, Best Director (Christopher Nolan), Best Supporting Actor (Tom Hardy), Best Supporting Actress (Anne Hathaway), Best Original Screenplay (Jonathan Nolan, Christopher Nolan, David Goyer), Best Original Score.

    Am I reading this right? No Bale?! It looks like he's going to give the best, what it means to sacrifice everything performance for a very long time to come from the trailers that I keep trying to avoid and the guy with the mechanical face hugger gets the nom?

    Heath Ledger had an entire face to work with and I don't think Tom Broody is thaaaat good. And don't even get me started on bitchy Anne (though secretly I'm praying for her to be great).

  • Artemis

    No chance that Tom Hardy or Anne Hathaway are nominated. I like Nolan's take on the series as much as the next person, but Heath Ledger aside--a unique situation both because of what happened to him and because he turned in a performance miles and miles above everyone else in that movie--those movies are not exactly showpieces for the actors. The acting has all been good but even Bale hasn't been more than that. It's Nolan himself who is really elevating things.

  • alannaofdoom

    "Beasts of the Southern Wild" is a lock for a Best Score nomination as well.

  • Pookie

    Yeah you really went out on a limb by picking "The Dark Knight Rises." Quick, somebody check this guy's midi-chlorians levels.

  • Alyson McManus

    Bill Murray hopefully will actually win best actor for his FDR potrayal

  • Pookie

    Shit, I got Murray in one of my death pools.

  • Socrates_Johnson

    Seems like it would up his Oscar chances if you win at least.

  • Ty

    Not having Paul Thomas Anderson's "The Master" on here is a travesty on par with PTA not having an Oscar already.

  • Mr_Grumpypants

    PTA is the best director working today...but I fear if There Will Be Blood didn't get him the Oscar he deserved, nothing will.

  • QueeferSutherland

    I cant imagine The Master wont pick up Best Picture, Directing, Original Screenplay, Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor noms.

  • Maguita NYC

    I cannot wait to see that one.
    Philip Seymour Hoffman and Joaquin Phoenix look already vert promising.

  • googergieger

    When is Stoker coming out again?

  • googergieger

    Cause seriously outside of Park Chan Wook getting some love can't be arsed with the Oscars.

  • $27019454

    If this list is for real I'm just...out. Paucity of interest.

  • Kirstini

    Hathaway will be Supporting for Les Mis, surely?
    So, Tobey Maguire is now the lead character in Life of Pi. That's funny. I don't remember any major white guys in the book...

  • DarthCorleone

    Wait. So Tobey Maguire is playing Yann Martel in this Life of Pi adaptation? And is the part really going to be big enough for Best Actor consideration? What sort of meta-hokum are they going to be pulling?

  • Arran

    Apparently he's not actually in Life Of Pi. There were reports that he was going to be, but evidently they weren't true.

  • Vincent

    Just curious: Are you actually hearing buzz about these films/performances or are u trying to create buzz?

  • Sara_Tonin00

    Interesting...and yet, I'm disappointed by this assortment. Without having seen any of them.

    Oh, the ennui is unbearable.

  • Well, to be fair, anyone who endeavors to predict and list the top Oscar contenders before they are released is bound to load up on literary adaptations because of the name-recognition. Nobody can really predict if an original IP is going to be good (unless its got a great director and killer cast) but people get excited about adaptations of established works. As such, with the exception of Django Unchained, everything listed here is either based on a true story or previously published fiction.

    If you actually want to predict who is going to win Oscars every year, just keep a heads up for historical biopics that involve some sort of physical transformation for a respectable actress. Guaranteed winner, regardless of the quality/success of the film.

    (I expect someone will make a joke about all of Taratino's work being based on previously published fiction)

  • None of these matter. Magic Mike will clean house.

  • Maguita NYC

    LOL!
    Just for special effects, Joe's big hose should dominate.
    And please don't forget Maddea's whatever movie for best musical.

  • I thought you said 'clean hose'.
    I don't know what that means, but it cracked me the fuck up.

  • Uriah_Creep

    A clean hose is a happy hose.

  • I'd include Lincoln in that list, if only for the combination of Daniel Day-Lewis and Spielberg.

  • Spielberg's work over the last decade has completely spoiled his "name as guarantee of quality" factor for me. I guess he hasn't actually directed that many stinkers, but producing the Transformers series, Real Steel, Terra Nova, War Horse, Men in Black, and Indiana Jones 4 have shaken my faith in the once venerable filmmaker. Obviously I've glossed over some pretty great projects during this time period, but most great filmmakers only have one, at most two films that don't really match the quality of the rest of their work, whereas Spielberg, the man who was once the critical consensus choice for "best director of all time" now produces extraordinarily shitty films about 30% of the time.

    Daniel Day Lewis is still fucking amazing though, and I think that Lincoln could be good. I'm just saying that I get zero hopes up for a Spielberg production anymore.

  • I agree with you pretty thoroughly there, actually. I was more saying the combination of Spielberg, Day-Lewis, and a historical biopic of one of history's greatest presidents is probably a slam dunk for Oscar buzz, regardless of quality.

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