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All Your Favorite Television Shows Will Be Cancelled (Part IX)

By Dustin Rowles | Industry | March 9, 2011 |

By Dustin Rowles | Industry | March 9, 2011 |

It’s time again to check in on the TV ratings and highlight shows that are on the brink of cancellation.

Normally, when we post television ratings, we post the overall ratings for a given week. For a change-of-pace, and to see how better your age contemporaries match up with you, this week’s ratings are from only the coveted 18-49 age bracket, which is what advertisers care about because apparently once you turn 50 you stop purchasing. You can take a look below, and note that last week didn’t have new airings of the Thursday night comedies on NBC (although, during the previous week, only “The Office” placed, at 16th) or “Glee” (which placed 6th the previous week).

1. American Idol
2. American Idol
3. American Idol
4. Modern Family
5. House
7. Criminal Minds
8. The Bachelor
9. Desperate Housewives
10. How I Met Your Mother
11. Secret Millionaire
12. Mike & Molly
13. Raising Hope
14. Survivor
15. Two and a Half Men
16. NCIS Los Angeles
17. 20/20 Special Edition
18. Family Guy
19. Castle
20. Simpsons
21. Apprentice
22. Traffic Light
23. Amazing Race
24. Mad Love
25. Undercover Boss

It is, at least, heartening to see “Modern Family,” “How I Met Your Mother,” and Raising Hope” place in the top 25, although I can’t say the same for “Family Guy.” I don’t even know what “Secret Millionaire” is. Is it a thing?

If you’re curious, shows that were in the overall 25, but were not in the top 25 for the 18-49 demo (i.e., shows mostly watched by older people) included “60 Minutes,” “Hawaii Five-0,” “The Good Wife,” and “Harry’s Law” (old people like their legal stories).

I know many of you care mostly about the Thursday night comedies, specifically what their odds of renewal are. A 2.0 rating is about as low as you can go and maintain a decent chance of renewal, and it’s not great for some of the shows. Obviously, “The Office” (3.3) is doing fine, but based on the ratings of the last fresh episodes, it’s not as good for the rest of the bunch. “Parks and Recreation” is holding a 2.4, but that’s a steep drop from “The Office’s” 3.3, so it’s not holding particularly well. “Community” was at 1.8, which isn’t good (three million more people watched “Winter Wipeout” on ABC). “30 Rock” is at 2.3, which is not as high as it was when it aired after “The Office,” but given the 10:00 time period, I think it’s odds are better. Meanwhile, both “Perfect Couples” (1.4) and “Outsourced” (1.5) will almost assuredly be cancelled.

Don’t be surprised if May is also the last time we see new episodes of “Community” and “Parks and Recreation,” either.

Does DVR viewing help? Unfortunately, no. “The Office” and “30 Rock” add around one rating point with DVR viewership, but neither “Parks and Rec” or “Community” add a significant viewership with DVR ratings added to the mix.

However, DVR viewership is a significant boost to two other shows you might care about: “Parenthood” and “Fringe.” In fact, with DVR ratings, “Parenthood” goes from a 1.9 to a 2.7, so it should be safe for renewal (Emmy consideration is due, as well, so that’s a bolster to its renewal chances). Meanwhile, “Fringe” moves from a dismal 1.5 to a solid 2.4 (solid for Friday nights). It’s odd are probably 50/50.

Other shows I wouldn’t expect back: “The Event” will be cancelled, as will “Off the Map.” “The Cape” is cooked. “Chicago Code,” meanwhile, is holding steady at a 2.1, which makes it another 50/50 shot at renewal. Also, given all the shows that NBC has in development, and “Chuck’s” 1.7, I don’t think even Subway can save the show for another season, for which I’m actually grateful. I’m only sticking with it now because I have for so long; this gives us an excuse to stop watching. “No Ordinary Family” will also be cancelled (1.2), and Matthew Perry’s “Mr. Sunshine” (2.4) is not holding “Modern Family’s 4.1 well at all. Don’t expect it to return next season.

But hey! At least you can rest assured knowing that “Mad Love” will return.

Dustin is the founder and co-owner of Pajiba. You may email him here, follow him on Twitter, or listen to his weekly TV podcast, Podjiba.

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