The Senate has only one option left: The Skinny Repeal. The bill would eliminate the individual mandates and the employers mandates and the medical device tax. It would result in 16 million people losing their health insurance, and health insurance premiums rising by 20 percent next year.
The Senate doesn’t want this to become law. “The skinny bill as policy is a disaster,” Lindsey Graham said. “The skinny bill as a replacement for Obamacare is a fraud.”
However, most Republicans in the Senate have decided to vote on the bill anyway so that it can go to conference in the House, where the House will come up with a comprehensive health bill.
However, the House has already tried. They came up with a bill that was “dead on arrival” in the Senate.
If the Senate passes the skinny repeal, the House — if they can find no other options — may pass it as is. This could happen almost immediately after the Senate passes their bill. In other words, if the Senate passes the skinny repeal tomorrow at 10 a.m., it could be law by noon. Some Republicans in the House Freedom Caucus, in fact, are threatening to do this very thing.
Four Republican Senators — Lindsey Graham, John McCain, Ron Johnson and Bill Cassidy — have said that they will not vote for the skinny repeal unless the House can guarantee them that the bill will not become a law. I repeat: They will only vote on the bill if they are assured that it will not become law!
Paul Ryan could not offer them that assurance. He released a statement, and it basically says, “We’ll try to take it to conference, but no promises.”
It is uncertain whether that’s enough to convince McCain, Graham, et. al, to vote Yes. If they vote no, the health care debate is over. If they vote yes, the skinny repeal could be the law by this weekend. It would be catastrophic for the health insurance market, terrible for consumers, and disastrous for the Republican party.
But it may be exactly what happens.
BREAKING: The House has invoked martial law. If the Senate passes skinny repeal, the House can vote on it without notice.— Topher Spiro (@TopherSpiro) July 27, 2017
We’ll probably know by noon tomorrow.
John McCain says Paul Ryan's statement is "not sufficient"— Ben Jacobs (@Bencjacobs) July 28, 2017