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Predicting How Many Episodes the Network TV's New Fall Shows Will Last

By Dustin Rowles | Posted Under Seriously Random Lists | Comments (43)



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The Fall TV Season kicks off this week (I believe a few returning shows start tonight, including “Parenthood”). I believe the first new show on the network television schedule debuts on Wednesday night, which is Hank Azaria’s “Free Agents.” That show, in fact, may also be one of the first few to be cancelled.

Below is my tentative predictions, without having actually seen anything but trailers and promos, for how long each new show will last. In most cases, it has almost nothing to do with the quality of the show; it’s more about the network, the time slot, and how it’ll play with wide audiences. A show like Tim Allen’s new show, “Last Man Standing,” looks terrible, but so was “Home Improvement” and that show lasted for something like eight seasons. Likewise, it doesn’t really matter how terrible the show is if it debuts on NBC, they’re more likely to give anything an honest effort because they have so very little to begin with. That would explain why “The Event” and even “The Cape” managed to stay on as long as they did, despite being terrible shows that also had low ratings. From the looks of things, ABC could be the new NBC this season. It’s good to keep that in mind for those of you concerned about watching a show only to become invested and see it cancelled: If it’s a decent show on NBC or ABC, it’ll likely survive for much longer.

Here are the new falls shows, short descriptions, the predicted number of episodes they will air, and promos for each.

ABC

Charlie’s Angels: Reboot of the 1976 show starring Minka Kelly, Annie Ilonzeh, and Rachel Taylor. Prediction: Three seasons.

Last Man Standing: The series will follow Mike Baxter (Tim Allen) a director of marketing at a outdoor sporting goods store in Colorado, whose home life and world is dominated by women. Especially, in this case, his wife and three daughters, one of whom is a single mother. Prediction: Six seasons.

Man Up: The series revolves around the lives of three guys (including Dan Fogler) with questionable childish behavior and lifestyles who decide its time to do the one thing they had forgotten to do: act like real men. Also stars Teri Polo. Prediction: 13 episodes.

Once Upon a Time: Stars, among others, Ginnifer Goodwin and Robert Carlyle. The series is loosely inspired by the classic fairy tale stories except set in the present day. The stories hold a key to the mystery that will draw a bail bonds collector and the son that she gave up for adoption 10 years earlier to a New England town called Storybrooke, Maine. This town is actually a parallel world in which fairy tale characters look like normal people and don’t remember their true identities or anything about their true lives. Prediction: One season.

Pan Am: Christina Ricci and Kelli Garner star in this television series centered around the iconic airline Pan American World Airways during the 1960s. Prediction: One season.

Revenge: The series is loosely based on Alexandre Dumas novel and stars Emily VanCamp and Madeleine Stowe. Prediction: 13 episodes.

Suburgatory: Stars, among others, Jeremy Sisto, Alan Tudyk, and Cherly Hines. The series follows a divorced father who decides to get away from New York City to the suburbs so he can give his 16-year-old daughter a better life. However, the move to ‘burbs has the daughter wondering if they just entered the world of The Stepford Wives after they see how ‘perfect’ their new locale is, right down to the neighbors who welcome them into the cul-de-sac. Prediction: Two seasons.


FOX

Allen Gregory: Created by Jonah Hill, Andrew Mogel, and Jarrad Paul that will air on Fox. The series will follow Allen Gregory De Longpre, a precocious 7 year-old being raised by his father Richard and his father’s life partner Jeremy. Prediction: 4 episodes.



I Hate My Teenage Daughter: The series will follow two mothers (Jamie Pressley and Kristi Lauen) who fear their daughters are turning into the kind of girls who tormented them in high school. Prediction: 13 episodes.

New Girl: The show will star Zooey Deschanel as Jessica “Jess” Day, a well-liked, bubbly, and adorable woman in her late 20s who is trying to get over her surprise breakup with her model boyfriend. She eventually finds a new place to stay when she moves in with three single guys: Nick, a bartender; Schmidt, a professional and modern-day casanova; and Coach, a former athlete turned trainer. Prediction: One season.

Terra Nova: With Stephen Lang, the show begins in the year 2149, a time when all life on planet Earth is threatened with extinction (suggested in trailers to be due to dwindling worldwide air quality and overpopulation). In an effort to save the human race, scientists develop a time machine allowing people to travel 85 million years back in time to prehistoric Earth. Prediction: 13 episodes.

X-Factor: Simon Cowell’s new singing competition reality show. Prediction: Nine seasons.

NBC

Free Agents: Alex (Stephen Mangan) works for CMA, a successful talent agency. Whilst he is grateful for his job, he is currently going through a messy divorce, causing him to become depressed. His boss however, Stephen (Anthony Head), is sex-obsessed, cocksure and roguish. Alex later meets Helen, a co-worker who is more successful and herself recovering from a messy relationship, after her boyfriend died months before her wedding. Prediction: Two episodes.

Grimm: Set in present-day Portland, Oregon, the series puts a new twist on the stories of the Brothers Grimm in which a homicide detective learns that he is a descendent of a group of hunters known as “Grimms”, who fight to keep humanity safe from the supernatural creatures of the world. Upon learning of his destiny and that he is the last of his kind, he has to protect every living soul from the sinister storybook characters that have infiltrated the real world. Prediction: 4 episodes.

The Playboy Club: Featuring Amber Heard and set in 1963, the series will center around the employees (known as Bunnies) of the first Playboy Club in Chicago. Prediction: 6 episodes.

Prime Suspect: Prime Suspect is an American police procedural television drama starring Maria Bello, and is described as a “re-imagining” of the British series by the same name. Prediction: One season.

Up All Night: Starring Christina Applegate, Maya Rudolph, and Will Arnett, the show centers around a couple who struggle to balance their home lives (especially with their newborn child, Amy) and their work lives. Prediction: Two seasons.

Whitney: The series follows the titular character (Whitney Cummings), an opinionated woman and her very-supportive live-in boyfriend. Even though the two have decided that they will not commit to marriage, she does question how committed they are in their 5-year relationship and tries to go as far to prove a point; she begins to fear what she sees as “relationship boredom” and worries what will happen next that could possibly end her relationship. Prediction: 11 episodes.


CBS

Unforgettable: The series follows a former New York City police detective named Carrie Wells, who suffers from hyperthymesia, a rare medical condition that gives her the ability to remember everything. She is reluctantly asked by her former boyfriend and one-time partner to join his homicide unit after he asks for help with solving a case. The move allows her to do the one thing she has been trying to remember, that of finding out how her sister was murdered. Prediction: Three episodes.

Person of Interest: Mr. Finch (Michael Emerson), a mysterious billionaire, has developed a computer program that predicts the identity of people connected to violent crimes that will take place in the future. However, the program has its limitations: for example, it cannot predict whether the person will be a victim, perpetrator, or witness, nor can it predict when or where the crime will take place. Unable to stop the crimes on his own, Finch hires John Reese (Jim Caviezel), a former CIA agent who is presumed dead, to help stop the crimes from taking place. Prediction: Three seasons.

A Gifted Man With Julie Benz and Patrick Wilson, the show centers on an ultra-competitive surgeon whose life is changed forever when his ex-wife dies and begins teaching him what life is all about from the here-after. Prediction: 8 episodes.

2 Broke Girls: Set in New York City, the series chronicles the lives of two waitresses in their twenties—Max (Kat Dennings), who comes from a poor working-class family, and Caroline (Beth Behrs), who was born rich but is now down on her luck—working together at a Brooklyn restaurant. Prediction: 12 episodes.

How to Be a Gentleman: The series chronicles the friendship between an uptight columnist (David Hornsby) and his more freewheeling trainer (Kevin Dillon). Prediction: 6 episodes.









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Comments

Man Up: The series revolves around the lives of three guys (including Dan Fogler) with questionable childish behavior and lifestyles who decide its time to do the one thing they had forgotten to do: act like real men. Also stars Teri Polo.

That's the saddest thing I've read in a long time.

What's the story with "Awake," that weird alternate-universe cop show with Lucius Malfoy? That was the most interesting TV trailer I've seen in a while.

(That one comes out mid-season. It does look intriguing. -- DR)

Posted by: Ghisent at September 13, 2011 3:06 PM

I hope Once Upon A Time is DOA. Such a blatant Fables rip off.

Posted by: Vi at September 13, 2011 3:12 PM

Grimm? Sooo, Buffy is a 20 something white boy in Portland. Puh-lease. I live in Portland. I run in the parks at night ALL the time. Unless werewolves smoke weed back in the trees, I think I am pretty safe. Talk about completely unbelievable... A black cop sidekick? In Portland? A White dude that age with no ironic glasses or facial piercings? These writers have clearly never even been here.

Posted by: Lindsey with an 'e' at September 13, 2011 3:16 PM

Hasn't Supernatural been covering the whole "hunting your childhood nightmares as dysfunctional family business" thing for six seasons now?

Also, WTF is up with all these weird towns in Maine? First Haven, and now Storybrook?*

* I wrote that as Storybroke, which it may well be, but I like the idea of amnesiac fairytale characters- probably more than I'll like the show.

Posted by: Reba at September 13, 2011 3:27 PM

Speaking of Buffy, Ringer starts tonight.

Posted by: KatSings at September 13, 2011 3:31 PM

I caught a preview of New Girl in a hotel last week and I wanted to punch Zooey's character in the face for the entire episode. "I'm singing! I'm doing something else adorably quirky for no reason at all except that it's adorably quirky! I'm fully made up but I act like I'm 10!"

GAH.

Posted by: avocadolime at September 13, 2011 3:41 PM

You say Dan Fogler like we know who that is...

Also, why are the comments not available half the time anymore?

Posted by: seth at September 13, 2011 3:44 PM

I can't get over the fact that Damon Wayans Jr. is obviously in the pilot for "New Girl" when he's on what looks to be a better show - "Happy Endings". Watch the preview carefully at the end - BAM! Different black guy. Fox pulled the Iron MAn 2 black guy switcheroo when "Endings" got a second season.

Posted by: JByrd at September 13, 2011 3:50 PM

Every time I see one of those Whitney promos I want to throw something at the television. It looks just AWFUL. I hope it gets canned after three episodes. Agghh.

Posted by: prairiegirl at September 13, 2011 3:52 PM

That Poppy Montgomery remembers everything show is a procedural on CBS. Therefore, it will last at least a season. If Poppy has a fan base left over from her other procedural whose name I can't remember but had Anthony LaPaglia in it, it will last three seasons.

Posted by: Three-nineteen at September 13, 2011 4:01 PM

Wasn't Gifted Man supposed to have Jennifer Ehle in the dead wife role? Like Ehle left a role on Game of Thrones for it something, didn't she? Julie Benz on a shitty TV show? That seems right.

Posted by: Sassafrass Green at September 13, 2011 4:05 PM

Lurrr nevermind. Ehle is still the dead wife. SAD.

Posted by: Sassafrass Green at September 13, 2011 4:07 PM

JByrd, when "Happy Endings" was picked up, DWJr left, so "New Girl" replaces him with a different character after the pilot (still a black guy, though).

No idea why I know this.

Posted by: Bates at September 13, 2011 4:09 PM

Wait a minute, shouldn't a show last longer than it takes to explain the concept? Oh, wait - Firefly - nope.

Posted by: BierceAmbrose at September 13, 2011 4:21 PM

Oh my god, "2 Broke Girls" looks baaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaad.

Yes, I needed all those "a"s.

Posted by: Holly at September 13, 2011 4:49 PM

Oh lord, time travel. time travel. Aside from all the paradox concerns, how exactly do they travel to a primordeal Earth? Keep in mind the earth does not just rotate around the sun. The entire solar system is hurtling along at some massve speed that even Jeremy Clarkson would probably find excessive, so even if you could break through that temporal wall, you'd go backward to a point where the Earth is somewhere else. Also everyone in the US knows the Earth is only 6,500 years old because that's what it says in my painfully literal Bible. (Kirk Cameron translation)

Posted by: Mrcreosote at September 13, 2011 5:05 PM

It's like a super duper network horse race!

Except all the horses are suicidal and they consciously hyper-extend their legs in attempt to cause crippling injuries to see which one can get sent to the glue factory first.

Posted by: D-Day at September 13, 2011 5:26 PM

Yeah, time travel. Like (above logical argument aside) we wouldn't pick a BETTER time period to jump to? Maybe one that wasn't (also) followed by major climate change that wiped out huge swaths of sentient life? Hey, if they bumped it up a bit to the time of cavemen, they could meet up with the remnants of humanity from Battlestar Gallactica and they could all make no sense together!

Posted by: Reba at September 13, 2011 5:44 PM

Am I getting this right? A teenage girl moves from MANHATTAN and meets shallow people for the first time?

Anyone else as confused as I am?

Posted by: PaddyDog at September 13, 2011 5:46 PM

Man, I've read that 2 Broke Girls is meant to be pretty good, but that preview looks like a Disney Channel sitcom. With vagina references. Now I'm hoping it fails so Kat Dennings can get on to something that's not terrible.

Posted by: Arran at September 13, 2011 5:49 PM

Wow! Stephen Mangan looks a lot like Hank Azaria these days.

Posted by: HungryHungryHippolyta at September 13, 2011 5:53 PM

Wow. The vast majority of those series look unwatchable. I think you're being extremely generous with a lot of these.

Posted by: ChristianH at September 13, 2011 5:58 PM

Also, for those of you who watched the Grimm trailer, I think they should have arrested the guy just on the basis of having a collection of Hummels. Surely that's been illegal since 1974?

Posted by: PaddyDog at September 13, 2011 6:02 PM

The trailer to "New Girl" looks more like some quirky chick flick comedy that should over and done with in 90 minutes or so not something painfully dragged out over 13 to 22 episodes every year.

Girl breaks up with cheating boyfriend, moves in with three guys where she crashes on their couch. They show her how to fix her social shortcomings and that not all guys are ass-rags. She moves onwards and out a better person ready to move on with her life and maybe takes one of the three with her. Meanwhile a new girl freshly broken up moves in. The end.


Posted by: bleujayone at September 13, 2011 6:30 PM

I just love these types of shows where a single woman moves in with a bunch of guys and no one wants to fuck the shit out of her.

Posted by: Pookie at September 13, 2011 7:03 PM

Iron Man 2 black guy switcheroo just became my new favorite saying of the month, possibly the year.

Posted by: aroorda at September 13, 2011 7:09 PM

All of the shows that have the longest predicted runs look godawful, and all of the shows that actually look reasonably good are predicted to only have one season.

Which I guess shouldn't be shocking, since American's don't like good (network) TV.

Posted by: DominaNefret at September 13, 2011 7:35 PM

these predictions are awfully generous.

Posted by: beet salad at September 13, 2011 9:08 PM

"I just love these types of shows where a single woman moves in with a bunch of guys and no one wants to fuck the shit out of her."

Well, she IS awfully quirky and twee. Maybe the FUCKING ANNOYING outweighs the "bangable" for them.

Posted by: Craig at September 13, 2011 9:25 PM

I'm gonna agree with everything except Pan Am. It *might* be sucessful. It might suck, but I think Thomas Schlamme is good enough to not make too terrible a show.

I'll be watching Once Upon a Time. For a couple of episodes at least.

Posted by: Figgy at September 14, 2011 1:12 AM

I watched the New Girl preview. At least one of the guys DOES want to fuck the shit out of her, BUT he's such a douchebag, his roommates have a "douchebag jar" to which he must pay a dollar every time he says something douchey. This is the funniest gag in the entire mess that is that show.

There is also a designated love interest among the new roommates who she will, presumably, be taking with her when she moves on all happy and healthy. Hint: It's not the token black guy.

Moreover, the pilot is edited and mastered like a feature film, not like a sitcom.

Also, Zooey is annoying as shit in this, which the roommates seem to figure out, and then fall in love with. She also has a lot of hot model friends who all *adore* her, although I can't imagine why.

Posted by: Kat at September 14, 2011 3:00 AM

Why oh why oh why does New Girl exist???

Posted by: chriso at September 14, 2011 3:43 AM

I'll totally watch Once Upon a Time. It'll have a good season and the built momentum will carry it onto its 2nd season when everything will go down in flames and it'll start to suuuuuuuuck because it doesn't have a purpose or a storyline anymore. And then I'll be depressed and angry.

Also, I want Person of Interest to succeed, just because, hello? It's Ben. I'd look out for a polar bear though, just in case.

Posted by: PP Matter at September 14, 2011 4:46 AM

Zooey Deschanel is one of those people I think I like, but actually don't. As in, I'll see a movie with her in it and think "oh cool, I like her, I'll watch this", but then 2 minutes later I'm fast forwarding through all her lines.

Posted by: Calamity at September 14, 2011 5:17 AM

Every once in a while I'm smugly pleased I no longer reside in the States. "Ha!" I say to myself, "What a load of crap these poor Amis put up with." Then I sit back and channel-surf German-dubbed episodes of Malcolm in the middle, Home Improvement and Ghost Whisperer.
Note to self: must relocate again.

Posted by: cinekat at September 14, 2011 5:32 AM

Wow! Stephen Mangan looks a lot like Hank Azaria these days.
HungryHungryHippolyta

You copypasted the synopsis of the British original,Dustin

Yeah, I was thinking it was odd for an American network to straight up import a British series.
The original was meh, I only watched it because I was bored and all of it was free to view on the channel 4 website.

At least Tony Head is still in it, he's good at playing a complete pervert, and he was the best thing in the British original.

Posted by: cockroach at September 14, 2011 6:06 AM

BREAKING NEWS
From Steven Moffat's Twitter
Dear CBS. A modern day Sherlock Holmes? Where, oh where, did you get THAT idea? We'll be watching!

But to be fair. A girl named River captured and made into a Killer by some shady people? Where oh were did you get THAT idea?

Posted by: cockroach at September 14, 2011 6:13 AM

In a perfect world, the other, infinitely more talented Deschanel sister would get all the press, and the indie-friendly one would be the footnote.

I like the looks of Person of Interest, but I'm a horrible Ben Linus fanboy. The only other new show I care about isn't even on this, which is Awake.

Posted by: Johnnyseattle at September 14, 2011 1:57 PM

I think Terra Nova has a chance.

Of course, that's after Fox drops it and SyFy picks it up.

Posted by: DeistBrawler at September 14, 2011 2:24 PM

I liked the English Free Agents.

Posted by: Aston at September 14, 2011 2:33 PM

I really liked the UK Free Agents - Sharon Horgan is fantastic.

Posted by: Smash at September 15, 2011 4:16 PM

So when's FOX finally going to grasp, if it isn't Family Guy or American Dad- NO ONE WATCHES ??!

Posted by: Mr. Stitch at September 18, 2011 10:08 PM

Really informative and wonderful body structure of content material , now that's user genial (:.

Posted by: closet organization at September 29, 2011 9:19 PM