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Betorourke-cruz.jpg

Ted Cruz Might Very Well Lose His Senate Re-Election Bid

By Dustin Rowles | Politics | April 18, 2018 |

By Dustin Rowles | Politics | April 18, 2018 |


Betorourke-cruz.jpg

Ted Cruz is my least favorite Senator in the nation. He is one of my least favorite people. Aside from Trump himself, there’s no politician I’d rather see get run out of office. He is a soulless, spineless coward who is fueled by spite and ambition. He’s such a miserable human being that the best thing you can say about him is that he watches porn.

Unfortunately, Cruz is a Republican in the GOP stronghold of Texas, where a Democrat hasn’t held a Senate seat since 1993 (and Lloyd Benston was the last elected to the Senate in 1988). Few have given Democrats much of a chance in Texas in a midterm election where every Senate campaign matters. Republicans hold a 51-49 margin in the Senate, but Democrats have to defend 24 seats (10 of which are in states where Trump won) while the GOP only had to defend 8.

Every one of these Senate elections will matter. Democrats may pull out victories in Nevada and Arizona, but that won’t matter if they lose in Missouri or West Virginia, which is why the Democrats are making a real effort to take on Cruz in Texas.

But there’s no way, right?

Well:

That’s a slim three-point lead that doesn’t take into account turnout, where Democrats are energized and Republicans are … well, I mean: How excited can anyone get about pulling the lever for Ted Cruz?

And remember: It’s just April, and O’Rourke has been closing the gap for the last couple of months (after the last poll, Democrats were ecstatic because they’d pulled within single digits). O’Rourke is winning among women, people of color, and young people. Importantly, O’Rourke also outraised every Democrat in the nation in the first quarter, raising $6.7 million, which also doubled Cruz’s fundraising take for the same period. And all of that money came from small donations — 141,000 supporters, to be exact. Crucially, he also holds a 51-37 lead over Cruz among independent voters, and he’s going to need to hold that and perhaps add to it if he expects to win in November.

But he might.

And little in the world would bring me more joy.



Dustin is the founder and co-owner of Pajiba. You may email him here or follow him on Twitter.


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