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Man vs. Woman vs. Geek

By Dustin Rowles | Posted Under Miscellaneous | Comments (81)

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Before we kick off today’s box-office contest, I need to belatedly announce the winner of a previous contest to provide a T-Shirt Slogan for TWoP fan last month for a a race she’s running called The Warrior Dash. TWoP fan selected these winners.

3. “Picked last in gym class.” —Shu Shu Fontana

2. “Run like you stole something.” —phaedawg

1. D*A*S*H (With an illustration of Alan Alda wearing an exercise headband.) —Caroline

Caroline said that she’d submit the Alda illustration if she won; she has. So, if you’d like, email me the illustration, and I will create a shirt from it for you. And best of luck to TWoP Fan in her upcoming race.

****

You don’t get too many weekends like the one upcoming one, where there are three notable films that have three different target audiences: The Expendables (Men), Eat, Pray, Love (Women), and Scott Pilgrim vs. The World (Geeks). Whatever the result at the box-office, it’s likely to be something that’s discussed and hashed over by studio marketing teams for months. All three films are tracking well with their demographic, so it should provide a decent gauge of the relative strength of each demographic. Also, it’s kind of fun for the box-office wonks.

So, for today’s contest, I invite all of you to be box-office wonks. I have some fairly decent guesses, but I don’t really know who is going to win the box-office contest. I’m rooting for the geeks, if only so that Edgar Wright can find the mainstream success he deserves, but I can honestly envision any of the three winning, and seeing one or two of them possibly falling on their asses. (I’d root harder for the geeks if Jason Statham replaced Michael Cera in Scott Pilgrim).

The contest is this: Predict the box-office totals for each of the three movies for this weekend only. Whoever comes closest with their prediction of the top five will win your choice of Edgar Wright, Julia Roberts, or Jason Statham DVD ($25 max).

Predictions should be put in this format:

1. Eat Pray Love: $102 million
2. Scott Pilgrim: $99.2 million
3. Expendables: $89.9 million

Predictions made after 6 p.m. EST on Friday, August 13th, will not count.









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Comments

Opening night, weekends or total?

Posted by: The_wakeful at August 12, 2010 4:19 PM

Oh, sorry. Weekend total.

Posted by: Dustin Rowles at August 12, 2010 4:19 PM

Unfortunately I will only be able to contribute to The Expendables this weekend as I promised a chitlin' I'd take her to Scott Pilgrim next week. So:

1. Eat, Pray, Love: $82 Million
2. Scott Pilgrim: $56 Million
3. The Expendables: $54 Million

Posted by: admin at August 12, 2010 4:24 PM

1. Eat Pray Love $120 million
2. The Expendables $100 million
3. Scott Pilgrim $56 million

I have no hope for the geeks.

Posted by: figgy at August 12, 2010 4:27 PM

Eat Pray Love - $55m
Scott Pilgrim - $40m
Expendables - $45m

Posted by: Capo at August 12, 2010 4:31 PM

Gotta love looking at the time stamps, realizing admin clearly went for totals.

1. Eat,Pray,Love -- $36 million
2. The Expendables -- $32 million
3. Scott Pilgrim -- $23 million

Posted by: D-Day at August 12, 2010 4:33 PM

1. Eat Pray Love $27 M
2. The Expendables $25 M
3. Scott Pilgrim $21

Posted by: reaperslogic at August 12, 2010 4:33 PM

1. Eat, Pray, Love: $73 million
2. Scott Pilgrim: $57 million
3. The Expendables: $49 million

Posted by: Snrub at August 12, 2010 4:33 PM

1. Eat Pray Love: $65 million
2. Scott Pilgrim: $40 million
3. Expendables: $80 million


I have no idea.

Posted by: Pinky McLadybits at August 12, 2010 4:34 PM

1. Eat, Pray, Love - $82 million
2. Scott Pilgrim - $73 million
3. Expendables - $71 million

Posted by: Ebs at August 12, 2010 4:39 PM

1. Eat Pray Love: $31 million
2. Scott Pilgrim: $28.2 million
3. Expendables: $19.9 million

Posted by: Asvetic at August 12, 2010 4:39 PM

1. Eat Pray Love: $27M
2. Scott Pilgrim: $19M
6. The Expendables: $17M

Not the oder I want them in, mind you.

Posted by: logar at August 12, 2010 4:40 PM

Eat, Pray, Love: $45 million
Scott Pilgrim: $21 million
The Expendables: $60 million

Posted by: Dorothy Snarker at August 12, 2010 4:40 PM

1. Eat Pray Love: 64.5 Million
2. Expendables: 50 Million
3. Scott Pilgrim: 35 Million

I'm hoping for the showcase showdown. But not with that scary Drew Carey doppleganger.

Posted by: Mrcreosote at August 12, 2010 4:41 PM

1. Eat, Pray, embrace the fact your life isn't this fabulous: $48 million
2. The Expendables (I will so be here on Sunday. OH YES. I'm a proud traitor to my gender.): $40 million
3. Scott Pilgrim: $28 million

Posted by: Melody at August 12, 2010 4:46 PM

1. The Expendables $35.8 million
2. Eat Pray Love $24.5 million
3. Scott Pilgrim $18.7 million

Congrats to the t-shirt contest winners!

Posted by: DarthCorleone at August 12, 2010 4:46 PM

Eat, Pray, Love - $72 M
Expendables - $60 M
Scott Pilgrim - $65 M

Posted by: Kargoyle at August 12, 2010 4:47 PM

1. Eat Pray Love: $44 million
2. Scott Pilgrim: $32 million
3. Expendables: $23 million

Posted by: g at August 12, 2010 4:49 PM

1. Eat Pray Love: $75.8 million
2. Expendables: $45.2 million
3. Scott Pilgrim: $35.7 million

Posted by: wick at August 12, 2010 4:52 PM

I... I don't know... uh...
*looks back at crowd yelling out random numbers*

1. Expendables: $1
2. Scott Pilgrim: $1
3. Eat Pray Love: $1

Rules are closest without going over, right? No? Well, help control the teenager population. Don't forget to have your kids spayed or neutered.

Posted by: branded at August 12, 2010 4:56 PM

1. Scott Pilgrim: $40m
2. Eat Pray Love: $37m
3. Expendables: $33m

Posted by: Tanner at August 12, 2010 4:58 PM

This is less what I think, and more what I hope:

1. Scott Pilgrim: $45.2 million
2. The Expendables: $19.1 million
3. Eat, pray, love: $9.4 million

Posted by: The_wakeful at August 12, 2010 5:01 PM

1. Eat Pray Love $63.7 million
2. The Expendables $45.3 million
3. Scott Pilgrim $32.4 million

This is kinda fun!

Posted by: TWoP_Fan at August 12, 2010 5:04 PM

Gah! I don't care.

I'll be watching my "All Creatures Great And Small" DVD's this weekend.

Posted by: BWeaves at August 12, 2010 5:06 PM

1. Eat Pray Love: $46 million
2. Scott Pilgrim: $40 million
3. Expendables: $38 million

Posted by: Paul at August 12, 2010 5:07 PM

1. Eat, Pray, Crap: $24.5M
2. Scott Pilgrim: $15.5M
3. The Expendables: $35.6M

Posted by: Neo at August 12, 2010 5:07 PM

1. Eat Pray Love: $32.4 million
2. The Expendables: $24.5 million
3. Scott Pilgrim: $19.2 million

Posted by: Fox at August 12, 2010 5:10 PM

1. The Expendables: $45 million
2. Eat, Pray, Love: $39 million
3. Scott Pilgrim: $36 million

I put Expendables first because there will undoubtedly be geeks who want to fantasize about being hardcore, not to mention the chicks who are going to drool over the sculpted bodies.

Posted by: Kris at August 12, 2010 5:11 PM

1. Scott Pilgrim: $34 million
2. The Expendables: $29 million
3. Eat, Pray, Love: $22.5 million

Posted by: Val at August 12, 2010 5:13 PM

Don't movies targeted at the ladies tend not to do so well in the summer? Those usually do better in the spring and fall, if my horrible memory is to be trusted...

1. Scott Pilgrim: $50 million.
2. The Expendables: $37 million.
3. Eat, Pray, Love: $28 million.

Perhaps some wishful thinking, but you have to remember that kids going to the movies this weekend probably don't give a flying furchtbar about Rambo, Ivan Drago, the guy from Lethal Weapon 4, or the Guvernator. They do, however, love Michael Cera and bright, flashy things.

Posted by: RobP at August 12, 2010 5:15 PM

1. Scott Pilgrim - $73 mill
2. Eat, Pray, Love - $45 mill
3. Expendable - 40 mill

Posted by: Tallulahc at August 12, 2010 5:21 PM

Expendables - 21 mill
Scott Pilgrim - 32 mill
Eat Pray Love - 17 mill

Posted by: CT at August 12, 2010 5:43 PM

When playing this game, always take into account a movie's running time. The shorter the movie, the more showings it can generate and the more tickets it can sell.

The Expendables (103 min)
Scott Pilgrim (113 min)
Eat Pray Love (133 min)

That's a whole half-hour more of Eat Pray Love than there's of The Expendables! That will factor into the equation. Given that:

1. The Expendables: $42 million
2. Eat, Pray, Love: $29 million
3. Scott Pilgrim: $19 million

I'm sorry but I'm not seeing where people are getting the Scott Pilgrim love. It's a movie directed by a director that is not known beyond geek circles, starring a guy whose last 3 movies did no business (Year One, Youth in Revolt, Paper Heart), with a highbrow concept based on an obscure comic book.

The last movie to fit that description? Kick-Ass, which made $19 mil in its opening weekend.

Posted by: Fredo at August 12, 2010 5:46 PM

1. Scott Pilgrim - $56 Million
2. Eat, Pray, Love - $42 Million
3. The Expendables - $33 Million

Posted by: Jeremy Feist at August 12, 2010 5:49 PM

OK, can someone fix the Break Media pop-up? Fucker keeps popping up EVERY SINGLE TIME I click on ANY link? It's gett-

"My child murdered someone! I have to leave town NOW!"

Oh FOR FUCK'S SAKE!

/click on "POST COMMENT"
//"My child murdered someone! I have to leave town NOW!"
///AAAAAHHHHHH!!!!!!!

Posted by: Fredo at August 12, 2010 6:04 PM

1. Eat Pray Love: $28 million
2. Scott Pilgrim: $45 million
3. Expendables: $75 million

Posted by: superasente at August 12, 2010 6:04 PM

Scott Pilgrim: $24mm
Expendables: $32mm
Eat: $47mm

Posted by: Petrie at August 12, 2010 6:06 PM

1. Eat Pray Love: $1-300 million
2. Scott Pilgrim: $1-300 million
3. Expendables: $1-300 million

HAHAHAHA! SINESTRO CANNOT LOSE!

Posted by: Sinestro at August 12, 2010 6:08 PM

1. Eat Pray Love: $44million
2. The Expendables: $36million
3. Scott Pilgrim: $31million

Posted by: RyanH at August 12, 2010 6:21 PM

1. The Expendables: $56.3 million
2. Eat, Pray, Love: $37.1 million
3. Scott Pilgrim: $17.8 million

Posted by: whatBENwatches at August 12, 2010 6:22 PM

Fredo, the same shit's happening to me- GOD it drives me all murdery!! so anyway

1. Eat, Pray Love: $58.4 mil
2. Scott Pilgrim: $39.8 mil
3. Expendables: $51.4 mil

Posted by: Bill (Formerly Bill) at August 12, 2010 6:30 PM

eat, pray, love: 31 million
scott pilgrim: 22 million
expendables: 19 million

Posted by: splinter at August 12, 2010 6:53 PM

Eat Pray Love - 43.6 million
The Expendables - 28.2 million
Scott Pilgram - 14 million

I will be seeing both Expendables and SP but i dont know that they will preform as well as they should/are expected.

Posted by: Gilp at August 12, 2010 7:26 PM

Ok, FTW . . .

Eat, Pray, Love: $22.5M
Scott Pilgrim: $14.2M
The Expendables: $23.2M

I think there are enough sad, lonely housewives and unmarried women who read that stupid book to actually want to spend money on seeing the movie, but not enough to take it into record territory.

I expect "Pilgrim" to kind of bomb because Michael Cera is in it and that's just what his movies do.

I'm thinking "The Expendables" will win by a couple of bucks just because there are tons of 40 year old men who remember these really old action stars and want to see them again.

So, what are the prizes again?

Posted by: mslewis at August 12, 2010 7:41 PM

Wait. DAMMIT. I went for totals too. Can I change mine?

1. Eat, Pray, Love: $ 56.5 million
2. The Expendables: $ 40 million
3. Scott Pilgrim: $ 12 million

Posted by: figgy at August 12, 2010 7:59 PM

I'm sure that at least one of these movies will either exceed my expectations or wind up well below them, but here's a fairly safe estimate in my view:

1. The Expendables- $35 million
2. Eat, Pray, Love- $32 million
3. Scott Pilgrim vs. The World- $21 million

Even if my numbers are off, I feel fairly certain that this is how these movies will place in the box office rankings this weekend. Although I have been wrong about these things before. . .

Posted by: allema at August 12, 2010 8:06 PM

I'm thinking "The Expendables" will win by a couple of bucks just because there are tons of 40 year old men who remember these really old action stars and want to see them again.

Damn straight.

Posted by: Rykker at August 12, 2010 8:24 PM

Scott Pilgrim vs The World - $36 Million
The Expendables - $30 Million
Eat, Pray, Love - $19 Million

Against my better judgment, I'm picking Scott Pilgrim to be the top flick over The Expendables. It should pull in the geeks and the teens who are looking for a date movie. The Expendables will come in second as the event movie of the summer (I think, in the long run, it makes more money than Scott Pilgrim). No one - male OR female - that I know seems to know or care about Julia Roberts or Eat, Pray, Love.

Posted by: David at August 12, 2010 8:35 PM

1. Expendables - $32.5 million
2. Eat Prey, Love - $24 million
2. Scott Pilgrim - $19 million

Posted by: Blair at August 12, 2010 8:47 PM

Eat Pray Love - $35 Million
- People love Julia Roberts for some reason.

The Expendables - $29 Million
- It has every action hero, but is it enough to convince people to come out to see it? It's an event, but one people can see on DVD and feel like they haven't missed anything.

Scott Pilgrim - $23 Million
- If I remember the write up on KickAss's success, geeks represent a small portion of the movie going public. Plus I watched it last night with some of my co-workers. They didn't get it (since they're not nerds) and didn't have a good time.

Word of mouth might not be too kind to this movie, except for those who enjoy the giant nerdfest Scott Pilgrim is. But again, DVD. I do see some sort of cult forming, much like the same cult who follows Simon Pegg and Edgar Wright around already.

Posted by: Doric at August 12, 2010 9:05 PM

This is gonna be a CLOSE ONE. I'll try not to let my personal prejudice get in the way. The question is...are Women that despearte to see movies?

Eat, Pray, Love: $36 Million

Scott Pilgrim vs. The World: $33.2 Million

The Expendables: $24.5 Million


There's no way those numbers are real. GOOD LUCK ME!

Posted by: Littlejon2001 at August 12, 2010 9:32 PM

1. Eat Pray Love: $32 million
2. The Expendables: $24 million
3. Scott Pilgrim: $ 8 million

Posted by: lyricalcatt at August 12, 2010 10:34 PM

1. Real men, $60 mil
2. Women and gay men, $55 mil
3. Geeks, $40 mil

Posted by: , at August 12, 2010 10:43 PM

Eat, Pray, Love - $43 mil

Scott Pilgrim Versus the World - $36 mil

The Expendables - $29 mil

Never underestimate women in large groups and husbands/boyfriends dragged into the theater.

Posted by: Maz3282 at August 12, 2010 10:48 PM

1. Eat, Pray, Love: $49.5
2. The expendables: $25.7 million
3. Scott Pilgrim versus the World: $19.1 million

Posted by: John W at August 12, 2010 11:14 PM

1. The Expoopables - $33.8 M

2. Eat Pray Poop - $22.5 M

3. Scott Poopgrim versus the pool - $18.9 M

Posted by: LBees at August 12, 2010 11:33 PM

1. Eat, Pray, Love - $35.2 M

2. The Expendables - $29.5 M

3. Scott Pilgrim vs. The World - 24.7 M

Posted by: Neck at August 12, 2010 11:57 PM

Eat, Pray, Love - $45 mil.
Scott Pilgrim - $36 mil.
The Expendables - $28 mil.

Eat, Pray, Love has "bored housewife" and "undiscerning moviegoers" written all over it. Scott Pilgrim will have a relatively strong opening, stronger than Kick-Ass, I think, because it's got fairly good reviews, a star that people at least recognize, and it isn't called "Kick-Ass" (probably a bigger factor than we'd like to think). The Expendables...I dunno. I have a gut feeling that it's not gonna do so hot.

Posted by: Kyle at August 13, 2010 12:03 AM

Fredo and Bill

I used to have similar problems until I switched to Firefox and installed the free Adblock Plus extension on both my Mac and PC. With a few simple configuration steps, Internet life has been bliss (well, ad absence-wise) since then. No more ad-induced rape.

Posted by: Uriah Creep at August 13, 2010 12:26 AM

Thanks for the tip, Fredo. Unfortunately, I tried Firefox about 2 yrs ago, and it started taking over ALL my apps, including the Explorer browser and ALL of my porn downloads, to which after that, one by one started being deleted from my files - if I hadn't just learned about backup discs, I'd eventually have lost a lot more before a virus destroyed my last hard drive (not blaming Firefox for that mind you, just that I'll put up with an annoying pop-up on this site rather than take any more action other than sighing very grumpingly and pissed off-like).

Posted by: Bill (Formerly Bill) at August 13, 2010 1:21 AM

Can't wait to win a copy of runaway bride!!!!!11111@@@lololol

1. Eat, Pray, Love - 41 m

2. Scott Pilgrim - 26 m

3. The Expendables - 20 m

Posted by: THRILLHO at August 13, 2010 2:02 AM

Ah, what the hell.

Scott Pilgrim: $39 million

The Expendables: $30 million

Eat, Pray, Love: $29 million

Posted by: Em at August 13, 2010 2:17 AM

Eat Pray Love: $50 million
The Expendables: $30 million
Scott Pilgrim: $25 million

My expectations are the opposite of my desires.
Prove me wrong Scott Pilgrim, please prove me wrong.

Posted by: gee. ay. at August 13, 2010 2:30 AM

1. Expendables: $44.4 million
2. Eat Pray Love: $33.3 million
3. Scott Pilgrim: $22.2 million

Instawin, sadly I don't have a DVD player...

Posted by: foaly at August 13, 2010 7:13 AM

1. The Expendables - 34.3 million
2. Eat, Pray, love - 26.6 million
3. Scott Pilgrim Vs. The World - 16.2 million.

That'll be it this weekend.

Posted by: Brian at August 13, 2010 8:14 AM

1. Eat Pray Love: $23 million
2. Scott Pilgrim: $33.7 million
3. Expendables: $22.5 million

Posted by: Jenn at August 13, 2010 9:44 AM

1. EPL $32.5 M
2. Dependables $27 M
3. SP v W $16 M

Posted by: Drake at August 13, 2010 11:24 AM

1. Eat, Pray, Love - $76 million
2. Expendables - $60 million
3. Scott Pilgrim - $20 million

Posted by: ban-Danna at August 13, 2010 11:43 AM

1. Eat Pray Love - $36M
2. Scott Pilgrim - $30M
3. Expendables - $28M

Posted by: Nicole at August 13, 2010 12:34 PM

trash - all trash
i am heading to the "art" theater to see Agora !!!

Posted by: marcia at August 13, 2010 12:34 PM

Why is Eat, Pray, Love getting so much damned love!?! Dammit! Take away my gender and sex credentials! I don't care! I'm rooting for The Expendables (followed closely by Scott Pilgrim vs the World, 'cause I'm a geek at heart)!

The Expendables - $43 million
Scott Pilgrim vs The World - $ 32 million
Eat, Pray, Love - $ 29 million

Posted by: Four Eyes at August 13, 2010 1:00 PM

Eat, Pray, Love - $41 million

Scott Pilgrim - $22 million

Expendables - $13 million

Posted by: Adora Belle at August 13, 2010 1:43 PM

Sorry Uriah Creep, I acknowledged Fredo instead of you in my 1:21am post, which is an indicator that I shouldn't be up posting at 1:21am.

Posted by: Bill (Formerly Bill) at August 13, 2010 2:00 PM

1. The Expendables: $41 million
2. Eat Pray Love: $34 million
3. Scott Pilgrim: $21 million

Posted by: magnolia at August 13, 2010 2:29 PM

1. Eat Pray Love: $32 million
2. Scott Pilgrim: $22 million
3. The Expendables: $19 million

Posted by: bionic woman at August 13, 2010 4:38 PM

Expendables: $50 million
Scott Pilgrim: $35 million
E, P, L: $2 million

I just don't think Julia has the box-office draw in her anymore but I may be basing this on my hopes and preferences...

Posted by: ChinaCat at August 13, 2010 6:25 PM

Eat, Pray, Love: $32 mill
Expendables: $12 mill
Scott Pilgrim: $17 mill

Posted by: smuch at August 14, 2010 3:04 AM

1. Expendables: $ 41 million
2. Eat Pray Love: $ 35 million
3. Scott Pilgrim: $ 29 million

Posted by: Mick J at August 14, 2010 3:14 AM

Dustin, are you trying to research how to get the most return from http://www.hsx.com/ ?

Posted by: Nicolae at August 14, 2010 10:02 PM

lyricalcatt was close, $5.8m off in total.

But,

I've got Neo with only $5.4m off in total.

Could be wrong, though.

Posted by: D-Day at August 16, 2010 12:49 PM

Well, lyricalcatt had the winning order wrong, so that's a problem right there. I think Neo gets it.

Posted by: Uriah Creep at August 17, 2010 1:27 AM