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The Complete Lack of Sideburns Wins Again


The Weekend Box-Office Round-Up / Dustin Rowles

Box Office Round-Ups | March 22, 2009 | Comments (42)


5. Watchmen ($6.7 million; $97 million): Another whopping 62 percent drop, but still, I think Watchmen is doing respectably during the weekdays. After three weeks, it’s poised to cross the $100 million threshold, and taking the $50 million international gross into account, it’s close to making back its $150 million production budget. Given its March release date, it’s doing better than the numbers suggest: It’s already the third highest grossing movie of the year (second internationally), and it did have the biggest opening weekend of 2009. It should recoup the marketing budget on DVD, and eventually come out in the black. You know what that means, don’t you? Sequel! We’ll call it, The Grandfather Clockmen. I’m sure it’ll go straight to DVD.

4. Race to Witch Mountain ($13 million; $44 million): I’d like to think that, with a nearly 50 percent drop from its opening weekend, Race will eventually fizzle and die. But The Game Plan had a lot of legs last year — it hung around in the top five for weeks, and eventually scored $90 million after a $22 million opening weekend. Race opened with $24 million, and has only next week’s Monsters and Aliens to compete with in the family film market until May. I expect it’ll eventually top out around $75 million. Johnson next stars at the title character in The Tooth Fairy and is poised to the go-to-guy for bland, inoffensive family films (all of his upcoming projects, both rumored and confirmed, are of the family-friendly variety).

3. Duplicity ($14.4 million): For a few years in the late 90s and early aughts, Julia Roberts was the biggest female box-office draw on the planet. Duplicity makes the fourth film that she’s headlined since 2001 (along with The Mexican, Closer and Mona Lisa Smile) that has underperformed (the fifth if you count Steven Soderbergh’s indie flick, Full Frontal.) Clearly, Roberts has been surpassed by younger, lesser talented actresses. Meanwhile, Clive Owen still hasn’t managed to land a true break-out role. He’s certainly well known, but he’s not a box-office star yet — take out his smallish role in The Bourne Identity and he’s never been in a $100 million movie. In fact, you’d have to consider his last five films disappointments. It looks like he’s going for a something a little more mainstream next, starring in The Boys are Back In Town, based on a parenting memoir. It comes from director Scott Hicks (No Reservations), so we can probably expect a forgettably sappy film. It’ll make billions.

Our review will be up Monday morning.

2. I Love You, Man ($18 million): Opening right between Forgetting Sarah Marshall’s $17 million and Role Model’s $19 million, I Love You, Man will likely end up with a similar final tally somewhere in the $60 - $65 million range, which is good enough to keep Paul Rudd and Jason Segal in bromantic comedy leads for years to come. Next up for Rudd: He has a small role in Year One, before he stars opposite Reese Witherspoon in a James Brooks romantic comedy. After that, he’ll star alongside Steve Carrell in the movie that Jay Roach turned down Little Fockers to direct: Dinner for Schmucks, about a man so extraordinarily stupid he’s capable of ruining a person’s life by spending only a few minutes in his company. Meanwhile, Segal is writing the next Muppet movie, as well as a sequel to Forgetting Sarah Marshall. He’ll also star as Horatio in Jack Black’s Gulliver’s Travels.

1. Knowing ($24.8 million): Nic Cage cannot be stopped. He’s got as many bombs (Bangkok Dangerous, Next) as he does successes (National Treasure: Book of Secrets, Ghost Rider) over the last two years, but the one thing they all seem to have in common is that 1) they star Nic Cage, and 2) they are awful. There is almost no rhyme or reason to the man’s career — it’s impossible to predict his box-office success. Up next for Cage: Mathew Vaughn’s already hugely hyped Kick-Ass, opposite Christopher Mintze-Plasse, who’ll be playing a comic-book geek who one day decides to become a superhero. I’m looking forward to Kick-Ass despite Cage’s presence, although he’s set to follow that up with Warner Herzog’s Bad Lieutenant remake. *shudder*


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Comments

There's got to be a better way to clear out all us weekend riff-raff than posting the Monday features a day early. Can't you turn on the Pajiba sprinklers instead?

Posted by: branded at March 22, 2009 10:13 PM

Hey, Rowles, since you trotted the title out, I figure it's fair game, so I'm asking a question.

IsDinner for Schmucks a remake of Le Diner de Cons? Because I liked that movie and it would kind of bum me out if that was the case... But I think Carrell and Rudd would be suited in the story.

Posted by: Kayanne at March 22, 2009 10:19 PM

I did notice that the Watchmen IMAX was pretty crowded for a Thursday at 7 back on the 12th. I guess the audience has kept trickling out to see it.

Posted by: Jay at March 22, 2009 10:38 PM

So I was wrong about The Watchmen...sue me.

Posted by: Smokin at March 22, 2009 10:49 PM

Well, maybe the Hannah Montana movie will take some of The Rock's potential box-office total.

Wait, is she still considered "family" material? I think so, but that's only gonna last so long.

Posted by: agent bedhead at March 22, 2009 10:59 PM

Wait, is she still considered "family" material?

She is, but then again, the same can be said about incest.

Posted by: Jeremy Feist at March 22, 2009 11:05 PM

i saw 'knowing' today (matinee, natch) and it wasn't all bad. i had some fun during the catastrophe scenes, at the very least.

and i actually liked 'next' too. it wasn't as pandering as i would have expected.


Posted by: gp at March 22, 2009 11:22 PM

In other, completely unrelated news that I feel the need to talk about anyways, this week's episode of Dollhouse (the long-awaited 6th episode that Joss Whedon actually wrote) was pretty damn good. It was at least enough to keep me watching for a little while more.

Posted by: the_wakeful at March 22, 2009 11:28 PM

Love him very much. Lots of my online friends on" mixedmate dotcom" love him too. You can share your ideas with them if you want.

Posted by: evan at March 22, 2009 11:43 PM

Caught "I Love You, Man" at Sun mat. Mrs. Daddy liked it a lot and I did too. I just kinda wish ... it started in conventional sitcom mode and wound up in conventional sitcom mode, but there was some genuine strangeness going on in the middle and for awhile I wasn't real certain where it was going to wind up.

I should have known better. But ... there were some good laughs in there, not to mention the Rush cameo. "Living on a lighted stage approaches the unreal, for those who think and feel ..."

Rock forever.

Posted by: bucdaddy at March 23, 2009 12:35 AM

It's good to know that The Rock is the new Ice Cube, who was the new Eddie Murphy.

Posted by: admin at March 23, 2009 12:38 AM

Is this the Rowles version of flicking the lights on and off. When my parents did that I always pretended I was in a disco.

*cues up the Bee Gees*

Well you can tell by the way I use my walk....

Posted by: admin at March 23, 2009 12:41 AM

I wanna talk about Dollhouse, too, damnit. I need a recap so we can pick it apart, theory by theory!

Posted by: The Pink Hulk at March 23, 2009 1:12 AM

Do it now Pinky!
CRAZY THEORY
Agent Ballard has been programmed by Alpha (Alan Tudyk) to find the Dollhouse. Hence, the ass-kicking skills. I cannot imagine the FBI teaches someone to fight with knives the way he was. Or a lot of the ways that he generally kicks the ass of everyone who tries to step to him.

Posted by: Optimus Rhyme at March 23, 2009 1:36 AM

it’s close to making back its $150 million production budget

True. Assuming the studio gets to keep most of the money from ticket sells. But they get about half of the box office don't they? That leaves them $75 million short of making back their money. And thats not counting marketing. I don't think there will be a sequel any time soon.

Posted by: EricD at March 23, 2009 3:23 AM

yeah, the marketing budget equals the production budget on big hollywood movies.

i wouldn't see any of those movies. well, maybe i'd watch "duplicity" to check out clive owen's performance. the others are massively unappealing.

i read the script for "knowing" a few months ago (blindly) and thought it was written by a kid at a community college with a hard-on for m. knight.

Posted by: celery at March 23, 2009 7:18 AM

God you know the end of the World is near when Nic Cage is still making money for supposedly acting, I swear at some stage while filming Ghost Rider something inside Nic died and he just stopped caring.

I'm trying so damn hard to think of a great way into leading into the G.I Joe Tagline, "Knowing is Half the Battle" but I'm having trouble, it'll come eventually and when it does it'll be awesome...

But don't hold your Breath

Posted by: RonnyK at March 23, 2009 7:44 AM

I'm sorry, but I have never and will never be sold on the charm or "talent" of Julia Roberts. She's just so...bland.

Posted by: courtney 2 at March 23, 2009 8:48 AM

I knew those three would be in the top three slots. My only mistake being that catastrophic catastrophe in a number find puzzle would beat out awkward man love. I guess I truly don't understand the American public. (Which would explain why I still have all of these maternity t-shirts with "Preggo Eggo" on them lying around. I thought there was a market for this type of shit!)

Posted by: Mike R. at March 23, 2009 9:02 AM

I swear at some stage while filming Ghost Rider something inside Nic died and he just stopped caring.

I disagree. I believe it was somewhere between 8mm and Gone in Sixty Seconds.

Posted by: Anna von Beaverplatz at March 23, 2009 9:06 AM

I also want a Dollhouse recap--mainly because I keep forgetting to record it. We were promised that the sucking would end with this episode, right?

Posted by: DeadBessie at March 23, 2009 9:13 AM

I don't think there will be a sequel any time soon.

Well nobody wants that.

Posted by: Jay at March 23, 2009 9:17 AM

I've given this some thought, and I don't think he shaves them - there's never any stubble or even the suggestion that there should be hairs there. No, no , I'm convinced he waxes them off.

Yes, I'm still talking about Nic Cage's missing 'burns.

Posted by: Kolby at March 23, 2009 9:48 AM

Knowing ($24.8 million)

You were right, Dustin, the Cagepocalypse is upon us.

Posted by: George at March 23, 2009 10:04 AM

But they get about half of the box office don't they?

Eric - not sure about this, but I think the studio keeps 100% of the Box Office for a certain number of weeks.

That's why you pay 6 bucks for 50 cents worth of popcorn.

-Ralphie

Posted by: Ralphie at March 23, 2009 10:09 AM

DeadBessie: The sucking largely did stop (at least for an episode). Also, hurrah, a little bit of humor actually snuck in! It was greatly improved, and I wanna talk theories too. The Attic: Warehouse for malfunctioning dolls, where bad dolls go to die, or Very Scary Place? Discuss! Also, does it seem like Dr. NotFred is the person on the inside to everyone else (who is still watching)?

Posted by: PaleoLithchick at March 23, 2009 10:57 AM

Yes, roughly, in a percentage arrangement the theater pays a fee to exhibit the film, usually for a set block of time, and takes a relatively small cut which mostly just covers operating expenses at first, or might even not. Over several weeks the theater's percentage goes up in small increments and they net more of the receipts. A bigger hindrance to distributors are big name talent taking gross percentages, sometimes right off the top, sometimes only off the studio's net profit. In "Watchmen"'s case the cast was pretty cheap so they're not in too deep a hole in that respect and giving Fox a percentage is the bigger annoyance for Warner and Paramount.

Posted by: Jay at March 23, 2009 10:58 AM

I guess it's all about expectations, but given the fact that it was: Rated "R", had zero star power, was pretty complex/confusing for a super hero movie, was 3 hours long and was based on a bunch of super heroes that the vast majority of folks had never even heard of... $100 million domesticall and $50 million internationally is pretty good.

I can't wait to see it again.

Posted by: Forbiddendonut at March 23, 2009 11:09 AM

"- not sure about this, but I think the studio keeps 100% of the Box Office for a certain number of weeks."

Thanks Ralphie, that would explain it.

Posted by: EricD at March 23, 2009 11:13 AM

Well Rhyme, my theory is that Echo isn't a doll at all...she's faking her way through treatments as an undercover op for Adelle to take down/over the corporations. That would allow us to connect to her as a character, would explain why she is cognizant sometimes, and why Adelle is so determined not to send her to the Attic.

Posted by: The Pink Hulk at March 23, 2009 11:40 AM

Kayanne

Yes, "Dinner for Schmucks" is a remake of "Le Diner de Cons." It doesn't get more solid and Carell and Rudd, so I have hope they'll be able to pull it off.

Posted by: Abe Froman at March 23, 2009 11:46 AM

I like your idea that Adele is the inside man, since she's so determined to keep Echo out of the attic. But I'm pretty sure Echo is a doll, why else would Alpha have had to program a message into her fight sequence? Unless you think that was just a weird thing she did just to mess with Agent Ballard? I don't know why she wouldn't just tell him with her own voice.
(Also, Ballard and Boyd? KICKS SO MUCH ASS. GLASS IN THEIR ASS!)

Posted by: Optimus Rhyme at March 23, 2009 11:57 AM

I enjoy the idea of Ballard as a Doll, and would like to hire him. Strictly in an sex-slave agent-type capacity, you understand. Now, is Mellie-from-across-the-hall a Doll, or strictly a sleeper? And how did they manage to make her a sleeper if she's not a Doll? I need to know more about this.

Also, the programming of Echo this week: Is it truth, or is she now being sent to him to throw him off the trail? Assuming, of course, that he's on a trail to begin with?

Here's my idea: I think Optimus should recap each week, put it up on Saturday afternoon, and then we can discuss. I love that with the Lost recaps that Carlson does (speaking of which... where's this week's!?) and find it helpful (well, especially in the case of Lost, because there's so much going on that someone is bound to pick up the things I've missed or have a theory I would've never had). Ok, GO!

Posted by: Anna von Beaverplatz at March 23, 2009 12:08 PM

Yes! A Dollhouse recap! Pleeeeeeeease? Pretty please? With sugar on top?

Posted by: The Pink Hulk at March 23, 2009 12:17 PM

Clearly, Roberts has been surpassed by younger, lesser talented actresses.

Like who? You saw Charlie Wilson's War, right? On second thought, I guess there is a certain talent in botching an accent that badly. Nevermind.

Posted by: ed newman at March 23, 2009 1:44 PM

Or, if Dustin doesn't wanna, Optimus could do it on his blog.

Posted by: Anna von Beaverplatz at March 23, 2009 1:56 PM

I saw somewhere (Wikipedia?) that Mellie is a doll and her code name is November. But, here's a fun thing to ponder- There are three flowers, right? One makes her kill, one makes her stop, what does the third make her do?
And I would be the worst one to do a Dollhouse recap. I can't be expected to consistently be in on Friday Nights. I'd have to watch it the next day on Hulu then immediately put together a post (most likely when hung over, as well.) So you'd get rambling, meandering posts that are more recap of the terrible things I did the night before and the state of my intestines.
I think YOOOOU should do it Avy B..

Posted by: Optimus Rhyme at March 23, 2009 1:58 PM

Alas, I'm afraid my shedyool does not allow for such things (full time job, school, etc. etc.). Pink Hulk? Anyone?

Well, that probably won't happen then. We could just do group discussions on the FB, one supposes.

P.S. Maybe they're ALL Dolls... Echo, Adele, Boyd, Mellie, Ballard... I don't even know. I think I'm too used to the convoluted-ness of Lost, and I'm way overthinking this at this early stage.

Posted by: Anna von Beaverplatz at March 23, 2009 2:09 PM

Thanks Abe Froman I appreciate your answer. I hope your right, it was a cute movie. Oh those wacky French folks.

Posted by: Kayanne at March 23, 2009 2:12 PM

C'mon Pink Hulk, you know you want to get published on Pajiba. You can put that on a resume.

Posted by: Optimus Rhyme at March 23, 2009 2:34 PM

I would love to get in on the discussion about the Dollhouse. I'd even consider writing recaps, if I were any good at it. Maybe I could put them on my bloog... except shit, you can't comment if you're not a voxer. Stoopid.

AvB, I would also like to hire Ballard-doll.

But I think someone has to NOT be a doll. Because otherwise, what the fuck's the point?

Posted by: lizzieborden at March 23, 2009 8:08 PM

If you twist my arm a little harder, I might be talked into a Dollhouse recap this Friday. But it will DEFINITELY be cutting into my sex schedule I have planned for the weekend.

So if I DID do it, you'd better like it! ;)

Posted by: The Pink Hulk at March 24, 2009 12:13 AM